Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfbdf5ded9e730f47e4ecdc1668a7ab1ff2707164937311bba1b99a86ee58eee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KRC Genkof GNK Dinamo Zagreb, KRC Genk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,620
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,620 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 25c | 4,042$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.48 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked KRC Genk | 75c | 2,304$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked KRC Genk | 76c | 1,317$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 25c | 1,248$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.6 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KRC Genk | 76c | 1,143$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.07 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked KRC Genk | 75c | 241.21$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked KRC Genk | 75c | 208.59$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 25c | 193.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed KRC Genk | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 70 | 67.1%47 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed KRC Genk | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed KRC Genk | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb992…0838backed KRC Genk | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked GNK Dinamo Zagreb | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed KRC Genk | 77c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: GNK Dinamo Zagreb (-1.5)this page
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 1.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 2.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 3.5Over won
- GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs. KRC Genk: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.