Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-08-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1cc2e25172c2b456ba722f8bdbdc727c042013b09d1cf0dc8ae5f43e60ccfa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 26c | 22,021$5,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,712.62 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 76c | 7,411$5,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.83 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed No | 67c | 2,395$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 53c | 2,011$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.54 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 9c | 1,688$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 50c | 1,670$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.95 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 36c | 1,449$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +176.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5032…d300backed Yes | 39c | 1,054$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Yes | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76cc…5e4ebacked No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 780.26$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee94…2ad7backed Yes | 64c | 622.12$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 33c | 584.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.42 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 37c | 273.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.43 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 52c | 192.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5d…0774backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6f…80adbacked Yes | 36c | 103.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 52c | 84$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +213.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x626f…cdfabacked Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…2b55backed Yes | 54c | 65.04$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Yes | 51c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c1…2dbcbacked Yes | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116a…ed51backed No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Maccabi Tel Aviv win on 2025-08-21?this page
- Will Dynamo Kyiv win on 2025-08-21?No won
- Will Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Dynamo Kyiv end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.