Champions League · resolved market
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f07f35e6ee6d881cf38abd0b945765a013d4b19bb7703f5c6019a19a4000a0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 24c | 50,992$12,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,065.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes | 43c | 25,000$10,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,251.03 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 57c | 8,276$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,729.89 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed No | 19c | 5,503$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.93 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 42c | 3,293$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.39 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.99 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 56c | 941.17$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.17 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Yes | 44c | 913.93$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.39 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 57c | 906.22$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.54 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 2c | 714.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 79c | 635$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.7 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 633.5$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.88 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d6…8c9dbacked No | 58c | 453.08$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 43c | 432.56$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.56 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 197 | 55.3%109 W · 88 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 57c | 399.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c91…0cefbacked Yes | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…d9c7backed Yes | 42c | 347.48$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.54 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 63c | 315.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.06 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 57c | 285$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.45 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Yes | 43c | 280$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 43c | 173.53$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 56c | 160.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.68 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 43c | 66.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfac0…2f09backed Yes | 44c | 63.45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f28…a583backed Yes | 43c | 59.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +131.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 57c | 55.96$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 57c | 55.57$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +105%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd913…96bcbacked No | 59c | 46.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe845…9a61backed No | 60c | 45.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddda…328bbacked No | 60c | 45.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…ed14backed Yes | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…00c4backed Yes | 44c | 41.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8093…6910backed No | 60c | 40.27$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e1…0e40backed No | 58c | 30.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Brugge win on 2025-08-19?this page
- Will Glasgow Rangers vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?No won
- Will Glasgow Rangers win on 2025-08-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.