Champions League · resolved market
Will Glasgow Rangers win on 2025-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1034af3f0dcdfc0b68a11f3d6363e103620d9e82943f8ba6e191c74cd889678f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,286
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,286 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4950…0031backed Yes | 32c | 3,250$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked No | 68c | 3,184$2,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.95 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 33c | 2,100$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 67c | 1,712$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.81 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 67c | 1,374$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.72 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 67c | 915$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 32c | 799.98$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.99 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 628.98$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.56 | 440 | 33.9%149 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 2c | 626.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 80c | 579.05$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.17 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 3c | 570.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c91…0cefbacked Yes | 34c | 444.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 36c | 416.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -14.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…650fbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…c622backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 67c | 284.77$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.97 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed No | 66c | 236.23$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.42 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 32c | 218.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 68c | 178.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d7…261bbacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 66c | 121.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.25 | 291 | 36.8%107 W · 184 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 15c | 117.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 67c | 111.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…1115backed Yes | 37c | 102.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…7b9abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 33c | 94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed No | 68c | 88.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 33c | 76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Yes | 34c | 59.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54b…3859backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4db0…e467backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +153.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…7dedbacked Yes | 35c | 33.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…4a31backed No | 66c | 25.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 65c | 23.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Glasgow Rangers win on 2025-08-19?this page
- Will Club Brugge win on 2025-08-19?Yes won
- Will Glasgow Rangers vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.