Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kayserispor vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f6c567d334b49cbd5a094945c70b31a40c0e6a8e3a2ff6362e183da0b030d33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 53c | 9,434$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,433.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 46c | 7,140$3,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,284.58 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,819.96 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 25c | 4,006$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 47c | 3,832$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.15 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 47c | 3,762$1,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.33 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 2,910$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.07 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.73 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 54c | 2,768$1,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 52c | 2,472$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.27 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 76c | 2,257$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.01 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 46c | 1,276$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.88 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 70c | 1,208$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.14 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Over | 40c | 622.5$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 39c | 587.99$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 76c | 511.15$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.78 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 275.77$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.69 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 55c | 199.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 46c | 194.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Over | 30c | 153.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 47c | 105.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf566…bbb9backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.5wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6c…a67dbacked Over | 47c | 85.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d4…f7dcbacked Under | 54c | 76.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 46c | 60.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 47c | 59.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 54c | 57.43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…ee4dbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 46c | 42.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…98edbacked Over | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb152…ef4cbacked Over | 47c | 34.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Under | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 78c | 20.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Under | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kayserispor vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 2.5this page
- Kayserispor vs. Antalyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kayserispor vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kayserispor vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Kayserispor vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Antalyaspor (-1.5)Kayserispor won
- Spread: Antalyaspor (-2.5)Kayserispor won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)Antalyaspor won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-2.5)Antalyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.