TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mets vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Metsof Mets, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$654,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$857,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $654,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38a…8d26backed Mets52c193,158$100,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93,152.5217652.8%93 W · 83 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Tigers48c82,555$39,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,626.539749.5%48 W · 49 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Tigers49c33,722$16,524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,523.811150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers47c31,259$14,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,772.742,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Mets51c25,000$12,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,249.9944456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Tigers45c20,923$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,400.171,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Tigers49c20,000$9,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,781.0315553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Tigers49c18,130$8,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,883.716347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa983…46a3backed Mets63c14,658$9,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,357.4711345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tigers43c14,577$6,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,225.949,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Tigers49c11,640$5,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,703.638949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Tigers48c10,619$5,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,096.941,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Tigers49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90041850%209 W · 209 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Tigers48c8,379$4,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,016.061,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c4…6f2fbacked Tigers45c6,845$3,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,078.131533.3%5 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc2f8…56b6backed Mets53c6,234$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,938.9221747%102 W · 115 L-0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Mets51c5,671$2,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,766.6178445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Tigers49c5,550$2,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.4898149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mets54c5,523$2,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.0612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Tigers49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.0933554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x709a…20b6backed Tigers44c4,644$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,036.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+75.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Mets51c4,631$2,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.3719649.5%97 W · 99 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x081c…f010backed Mets51c3,486$1,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.877659.2%45 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Mets51c3,406$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.4543949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Tigers50c3,388$1,694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,69439041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Tigers49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47026453.8%142 W · 122 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers50c2,959$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.51,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb470…aa7bbacked Tigers25c2,870$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.63520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Mets57c2,310$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.1143946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Mets52c2,002$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.6323455.6%130 W · 104 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Mets52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9871751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Mets52c1,670$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.61,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Tigers52c1,668$875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$874.686536.9%24 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Tigers49c1,653$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.1519742.6%84 W · 113 L-13.5wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7a6b…8b2fbacked Mets52c1,650$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Tigers50c1,358$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67920747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets50c1,253$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.681,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Tigers48c1,094$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.1273352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Mets65c1,057$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.846,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x346d…aa71backed Tigers48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.16785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+73.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Tigers51c1,010$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.927651.3%39 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2719…28ddbacked Mets78c1,002$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1925364.4%163 W · 90 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Tigers49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Tigers46c999.99$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Tigers49c994.58$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.3411947.9%57 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Tigers55c910.18$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Mets67c799.99$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26413359.4%79 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Tigers50c705.88$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.9470946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Tigers48c700$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33630842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Tigers19c693.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3447745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a5d…a6e9backed Tigers4c690$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick26cpaid+158.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa270…42c9backed Tigers36c644.36$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.1540152.4%210 W · 191 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Tigers48c625$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x937d…ff94backed Tigers48c608$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.84650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Tigers48c561.33$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.4451347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tigers41c530.49$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.888,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Tigers55c524.34$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.596357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Tigers37c477.39$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.6317243%74 W · 98 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Tigers39c448.99$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0321246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7301…e58cbacked Tigers37c445.65$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed Tigers18c425.17$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4617239.5%68 W · 104 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Mets54c422.22$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2213149.6%65 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x409b…d3dabacked Tigers48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers49c409.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcf…48e1backed Tigers5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015642.9%67 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Tigers50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Tigers49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19633852.1%176 W · 162 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Tigers47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1883,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Mets55c396.26$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.1114055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f5…ee20backed Mets51c391.37$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.11866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tigers41c382.73$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.834,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Tigers37c380.77$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.326,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13ac…2c1abacked Mets53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.362065%13 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Mets55c371$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.7638751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mets51c335.62$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.981,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d61…1808backed Mets51c333.33$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.3311056.4%62 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Mets59c318.89$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6776456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Mets52c316.52$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.934341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Tigers40c316.16$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1115033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Tigers58c313.17$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18321853.2%116 W · 102 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets53c301$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.471,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Mets67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998454.8%46 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ffb…a834backed Tigers48c287$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.7611553%61 W · 54 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Tigers5c247.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Tigers41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Mets70c242.86$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7360052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Tigers49c220.85$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9380955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xffc3…8fffbacked Tigers47c211.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Tigers50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Mets52c199.99$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+30%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3df4…57dfbacked Mets51c195.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0431347.9%150 W · 163 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344d…1278backed Mets52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.313959%23 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Tigers48c177.08$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8599951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Tigers48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8078454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a8…3b1fbacked Mets53c164.54$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0210459.6%62 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e4d…67a5backed Tigers45c152.96$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0712352.8%65 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81d6…bec9backed Tigers53c152.08$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Mets51c150.02$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1335245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa3e…e822backed Tigers48c145.83$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Mets46c127.21$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.4914235.9%51 W · 91 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.