MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ebeb9d393fe51bb35b8c689ebb675e869bd19043e86b67e9bf2f54520e2910b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $718,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $807,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $718,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 482 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles | 49c | 193,253$94,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,411.02 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Orioles | 48c | 106,548$51,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,130.25 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 93,331$48,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,985.69 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Orioles | 51c | 64,149$32,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,715.85 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5b…d411backed Red Sox | 53c | 56,596$29,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,600.24 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Red Sox | 52c | 49,175$25,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,682.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Sox | 55c | 28,782$15,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,061.57 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…3a9bbacked Red Sox | 51c | 25,207$12,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,391.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Red Sox | 51c | 23,938$12,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,769.93 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 51c | 21,008$10,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,361.04 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Red Sox | 52c | 21,000$10,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,080 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Orioles | 48c | 21,000$10,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,080 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Red Sox | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Red Sox | 49c | 18,269$8,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,288.94 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Red Sox | 49c | 16,216$7,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,242.83 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Red Sox | 51c | 14,622$7,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,164.78 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Red Sox | 51c | 14,079$7,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,898.55 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Red Sox | 52c | 12,734$6,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,066.07 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Orioles | 48c | 12,421$5,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,962 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Red Sox | 51c | 10,556$5,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,172.44 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox | 51c | 8,900$4,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,361 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Orioles | 49c | 6,790$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.29 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 47c | 6,671$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,118.62 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Red Sox | 51c | 5,869$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,875.73 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 51c | 5,405$2,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,624.16 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Red Sox | 51c | 5,353$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.9 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 3c | 5,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Orioles | 37c | 4,516$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.6 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Orioles | 49c | 4,470$2,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,190.25 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Red Sox | 51c | 4,260$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.4 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…fc70backed Red Sox | 49c | 4,023$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 45c | 3,865$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.07 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 39c | 3,475$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.69 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 47c | 3,400$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Red Sox | 50c | 3,230$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,615 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89fa…2353backed Orioles | 50c | 2,997$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a31…5dd9backed Red Sox | 49c | 2,826$1,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,441.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Orioles | 50c | 2,627$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.72 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Orioles | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.99 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…c084backed Red Sox | 49c | 2,435$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…1a3abacked Orioles | 50c | 2,287$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Red Sox | 53c | 2,149$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.25 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Orioles | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…c73bbacked Orioles | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…f65cbacked Orioles | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Red Sox | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Orioles | 46c | 1,593$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.17 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…0e51backed Red Sox | 72c | 1,392$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Red Sox | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.15 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Red Sox | 51c | 1,271$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.73 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…2c1abacked Orioles | 49c | 1,226$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e89…e67abacked Red Sox | 51c | 1,178$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.22 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b6…4dc1backed Red Sox | 51c | 1,172$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef3…f121backed Orioles | 49c | 1,124$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -58%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Red Sox | 51c | 1,124$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.53 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Red Sox | 49c | 1,039$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.14 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Orioles | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Red Sox | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Red Sox | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Red Sox | 51c | 941.18$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.18 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 47c | 899.95$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.98 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Red Sox | 50c | 789.46$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.73 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Sox | 51c | 781.64$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.9 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Red Sox | 51c | 731.94$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.65 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Orioles | 5c | 639.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 182 | 36.3%66 W · 116 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Orioles | 28c | 625.7$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.94 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Red Sox | 64c | 609.3$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.35 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Red Sox | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Red Sox | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Orioles | 48c | 594.74$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.27 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Red Sox | 78c | 576.92$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.92 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…0a55backed Red Sox | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Red Sox | 49c | 550.33$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.67 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Red Sox | 49c | 550$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Red Sox | 51c | 530$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.7 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Red Sox | 52c | 520.8$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.27 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Orioles | 36c | 498.91$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.16 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad9c…7aa1backed Orioles | 50c | 460$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9be8…9d40backed Red Sox | 51c | 459.94$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Red Sox | 50c | 449.72$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.86 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…57b6backed Red Sox | 51c | 420.31$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.95 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -39%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Red Sox | 49c | 404.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd110…ed30backed Orioles | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 51cpaid | -74%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1257…0379backed Red Sox | 51c | 399.96$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.98 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed Red Sox | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Red Sox | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Orioles | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 47c | 349.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Red Sox | 52c | 329.56$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Red Sox | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Red Sox | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Red Sox | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Orioles | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Red Sox | 51c | 279.97$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.49 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Red Sox | 78c | 256.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.71 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed Orioles | 49c | 256.61$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.74 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe0…c5fabacked Orioles | 51c | 254.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…d77ebacked Orioles | 24c | 246$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Orioles | 49c | 238.75$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Sox vs. Oriolesthis page
- Red Sox vs. Orioles: O/U 10.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.