Premier League · resolved market
West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b5ae7e85bdb0ce9fbe3df60246213e7a6bd56c3bc6983908c0227a0e161ea6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8372…5223backed Under | 61c | 17,295$10,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,745.07 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 6,842$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.25 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 39c | 3,400$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 61c | 2,818$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098.91 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 39c | 1,860$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.51 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 39c | 1,499$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.6 | 607 | 28%170 W · 437 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 39c | 876.83$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.96 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 63c | 873.02$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.02 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 37c | 818.97$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.02 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 38c | 637.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.44 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 61c | 499.98$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 60c | 499.85$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.44 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 39c | 410.26$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -7.0wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 198 | 26.3%52 W · 146 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 62c | 317$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 282 | 42.2%119 W · 163 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Over | 39c | 307.69$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 40c | 282.97$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…ccdbbacked Over | 38c | 146.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1460…b5bbbacked Over | 39c | 141.05$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 40c | 138$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 38c | 131.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c34…dfafbacked Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 41c | 123.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 39c | 103$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5f…5e78backed Over | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 37c | 96.67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Under | 61c | 59.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 39c | 54.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Over | 39c | 53.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…24a6backed Under | 63c | 53.03$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 30c | 49.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 39c | 46.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Over | 40c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 248 | 44.4%110 W · 138 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ba…960fbacked Under | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd61…5507backed Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Under | 63c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…9ac1backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Under | 67c | 24.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed Under | 61c | 20.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5this page
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 1.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 2.5Under won
- West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.