Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC København win on 2025-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54cb472b879b3b18d9c7f760d1086904fcfe04aaef5435c83580c6305ce8dc23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 33c | 3,852$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.52 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 3,430$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.46 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 1,785$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 56c | 1,777$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.99 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 1,654$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.82 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 37c | 1,136$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.19 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Yes | 38c | 1,013$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.16 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 10c | 989.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.95 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 44c | 968$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.14 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 50c | 300.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.65 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 63c | 298.21$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 55c | 224.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.41 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 13c | 198.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 52c | 183.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.33 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 39c | 158.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Yes | 47c | 109.54$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 50c | 101.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked No | 55c | 90$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1b…d6cbbacked Yes | 50c | 53.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf09d…115fbacked Yes | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Yes | 42c | 35.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 55c | 32.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 152 | 26.3%40 W · 112 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC København win on 2025-11-23?this page
- Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-11-23?No won
- Will FC København vs. Brøndby IF end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.