South American Leagues · resolved market
Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f7c56beb26a2075f95eb5fe78ab9d060d3156c23f23ba6d673386cf0161a80f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,276
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,276 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 55c | 1,807$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.45 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 38c | 1,392$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531 | 191 | 35.1%67 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 728.19$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.72 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…6541backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 51c | 264.01$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.24 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Under | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cff…6471backed Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Under | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080d…db3ebacked Under | 57c | 110.72$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Over | 48c | 41.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed Under | 52c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 36.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…07d8backed Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Under | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a24fbacked Over | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf724…d675backed Over | 49c | 29.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b0…1dc1backed Under | 53c | 28.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c6…b65ebacked Under | 53c | 28.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…eb14backed Under | 52c | 28.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…e7b4backed Over | 49c | 26.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…148cbacked Under | 52c | 24.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8b…2ce7backed Under | 52c | 23.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…17d8backed Over | 50c | 23.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9881…4b6dbacked Over | 49c | 21.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcde5…1158backed Under | 53c | 20.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…6bcebacked Under | 53c | 19.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Under | 64c | 16.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Tigres de la UANL (-1.5)CF Cruz Azul won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Cruz Azul: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 1.5Over won
- Tigres de la UANL vs. CF Cruz Azul: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.