TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FORZE Reload vs STATE (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FORZE Reloadof FORZE Reload, STATE
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,265
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,705

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,265 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbec7…5977backed FORZE Reload64c4,989$3,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,796.257647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked STATE23c4,704$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.052,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FORZE Reload68c2,795$1,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.243,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked STATE36c2,445$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.229855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked FORZE Reload66c1,923$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.836245.3%164 W · 198 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed STATE35c1,250$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.550833.5%170 W · 338 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc658…7dcebacked STATE46c1,240$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed STATE6c1,210$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.851,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba05…f8c0backed STATE36c1,200$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43297230%292 W · 680 L-23.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed STATE50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006648.5%32 W · 34 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked FORZE Reload62c765.13$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.1314744.2%65 W · 82 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2930…4cf8backed STATE21c760.14$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.0415743.3%68 W · 89 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6971…d4a4backed STATE3c648.76$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2840%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b1d…820cbacked FORZE Reload80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1252100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed STATE36c569$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.155,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked STATE33c479.2$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.381963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed FORZE Reload71c449.76$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.731,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked STATE27c400$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9928644.1%126 W · 160 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x757b…7f5abacked FORZE Reload71c343.59$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.321947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6a…86bbbacked STATE34c285.71$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.22040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4da1…e6dfbacked FORZE Reload67c279.55$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.2510446.2%48 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked STATE35c279.43$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.823952.3%125 W · 114 L+14.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed STATE21c279.31$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8621139.3%83 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed FORZE Reload77c279.14$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.239851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed FORZE Reload36c279$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.5633949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed STATE38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024038.3%92 W · 148 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked STATE20c249.36$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.526746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c87…3b59backed FORZE Reload76c248.68$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.68875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+19.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d6…9357backed FORZE Reload79c236.71$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.371070%7 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa134…3ba2backed FORZE Reload65c222.37$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.392352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked STATE29c206.82$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.4622931.4%72 W · 157 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed STATE52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1046457.8%37 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked STATE13c200$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.11,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked FORZE Reload48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10415648.1%75 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed FORZE Reload65c193.18$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1898856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0685…2b0cbacked STATE18c163.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.57834.6%27 W · 51 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-36.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c70…1d71backed FORZE Reload72c157.39$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.544965.3%32 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ef…a23dbacked FORZE Reload65c154$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50f2…f52cbacked STATE35c154$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b80…b3b2backed STATE32c151.37$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.222711.1%3 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed STATE22c142$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7316945%76 W · 93 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+0.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1412…b6debacked FORZE Reload72c139.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.817467.6%50 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed FORZE Reload50c132.83$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4213144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ab…f5c1backed STATE16c130.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.49144%40 W · 51 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed FORZE Reload77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8720462.7%128 W · 76 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6385…e191backed STATE25c111.35$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.361250%6 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed STATE38c104.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4037445.7%171 W · 203 L-29.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x35e6…1dccbacked STATE19c101.69$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.113525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked STATE48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.57545.3%34 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x711f…f51bbacked FORZE Reload36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5754…9238backed FORZE Reload71c97.79$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.422466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61bb…aca7backed STATE28c97.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.071050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed FORZE Reload80c90$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1812752%66 W · 61 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb378…5cd7backed FORZE Reload63c84.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.44475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76d3…7034backed FORZE Reload72c82.92$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.925352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed STATE21c80.38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5629128.5%83 W · 208 L-30.2wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-38.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked FORZE Reload65c76.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5258149.2%286 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4ba…c5d8backed STATE35c71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.854148.8%20 W · 21 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked FORZE Reload66c66.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.495145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked STATE31c66.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.467,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed STATE30c62.71$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.96735.8%24 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b3e…b5a4backed STATE35c60.51$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.05742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc13f…ca64backed FORZE Reload66c60.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a58…149dbacked STATE26c53.39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.997625%19 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-56.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked FORZE Reload60c51.67$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6714950.3%75 W · 74 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3a3f…38e4backed STATE28c50.4$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9cd…432cbacked FORZE Reload61c50.28$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.842737%10 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2658…dfc7backed FORZE Reload79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-57.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed FORZE Reload66c43.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.062060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed FORZE Reload57c43.01$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.577647.4%36 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb509…c01dbacked FORZE Reload76c40.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf575…b41fbacked FORZE Reload80c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed FORZE Reload60c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c46…6a2abacked FORZE Reload51c39.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.171764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick47cpaid+60.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6fd…ac2fbacked STATE44c36.09$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.88742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x70c8…006cbacked FORZE Reload72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.724161%25 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d9e…a5d9backed FORZE Reload55c32.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23b8…d72cbacked FORZE Reload76c32.24$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.741163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick42cpaid+101.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed STATE44c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.212651.6%65 W · 61 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked FORZE Reload68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6d5…aa48backed FORZE Reload73c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.83580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+103.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8104…3128backed FORZE Reload79c28$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.779151.6%47 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…26d3backed FORZE Reload66c26.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.07366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1600…9236backed FORZE Reload74c26.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.712157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5b4…627bbacked FORZE Reload58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.86560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x425f…0f7abacked FORZE Reload80c25.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0511747%55 W · 62 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b60…4007backed FORZE Reload74c21.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ff…2506backed FORZE Reload78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.41172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x741e…9014backed FORZE Reload60c19.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed FORZE Reload69c18.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.862763%17 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.