Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4eceb8ef4a27e029de8121c13e1dd6d0854786282671f3326abfed7df22d92e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 11,135$7,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.33 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 20c | 8,328$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.6 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…8d4bbacked Over | 73c | 6,812$4,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,969 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 5,142$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,286.39 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 1,948$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.67 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 28c | 1,348$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.06 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 42c | 953.95$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 43c | 693.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Over | 36c | 561.4$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 515.72$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.53 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf34a…b1a1backed Over | 72c | 427.78$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 70c | 357$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 61c | 229.5$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.34 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under | 65c | 208.67$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.84 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 64c | 206.5$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 34c | 174.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 57c | 174.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 77c | 149.99$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 74c | 134.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 14c | 134.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.62 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 77c | 132.77$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 22c | 122.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Over | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 21c | 94.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 72c | 65$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 64c | 63.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 62c | 48.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 30c | 43.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Under | 77c | 38.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 40c | 33.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Under | 68c | 29.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 50c | 21.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Under | 77c | 20.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5this page
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)CD Santa Clara won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.