Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4937b4ee76c32cd48c7c8680209895d71269b7f011a83ce7ad3eea80647d904
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 55c | 2,001$1,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,097.07 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 46c | 918.75$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.53 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Over | 44c | 720.45$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.45 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 77c | 569.28$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 56c | 140.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.96 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 44c | 111.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.36 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe105…1efbbacked Under | 55c | 95.63$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.6 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 95.38$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Over | 52c | 86.54$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 45c | 78.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 46c | 76.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 46c | 58.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.97 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 59c | 57.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 41c | 55.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Over | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 45c | 38.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 54c | 31.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 58c | 23.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Under | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 60c | 18.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5this page
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)CD Santa Clara won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.