Other European Leagues · resolved market
CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75ac3988b94a65b45f56531bee93f429d97045e016167c2c9d84578740695f35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,025
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 59c | 1,682$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 1,195$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.37 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 42c | 856.09$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.43 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 41c | 658.56$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.35 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 40c | 567.61$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.56 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 46c | 431.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.51 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 39c | 259.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.26 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc8…d9bebacked No | 10c | 217.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Yes | 44c | 209$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.04 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 61c | 76.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 64c | 74.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.42 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 44c | 45.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Yes | 45c | 44.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 35c | 38.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Yes | 44c | 26.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 56c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)CD Santa Clara won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.