Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6108bcebbf1b8f470d8942d105052b0f606e742e6a84d235257fc1fae848421
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CD Santa Claraof Sport Lisboa e Benfica, CD Santa Clara
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 33c | 6,463$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,144.92 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CD Santa Clara | 63c | 5,005$3,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.67 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800b…152abacked CD Santa Clara | 66c | 1,600$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed CD Santa Clara | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 51c | 516.09$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.55 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 350$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed CD Santa Clara | 18c | 243.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.76 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 35c | 231.43$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed CD Santa Clara | 64c | 216.08$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed CD Santa Clara | 67c | 177.05$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked CD Santa Clara | 63c | 160.58$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed CD Santa Clara | 64c | 115$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed CD Santa Clara | 66c | 104$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed CD Santa Clara | 63c | 103.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 103.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 21c | 100.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed CD Santa Clara | 63c | 90$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 38c | 68.19$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed CD Santa Clara | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed CD Santa Clara | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked CD Santa Clara | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked CD Santa Clara | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…22a9backed CD Santa Clara | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked CD Santa Clara | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CD Santa Clara | 66c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…db3dbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 41c | 53.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CD Santa Clara | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked CD Santa Clara | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked CD Santa Clara | 63c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4161…c578backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 43.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked CD Santa Clara | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked CD Santa Clara | 63c | 31.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34c | 31.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed CD Santa Clara | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed CD Santa Clara | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed CD Santa Clara | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 66c | 20.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed CD Santa Clara | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd944…07d5backed CD Santa Clara | 67c | 15.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)this page
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- CD Santa Clara vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Santa Clara (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)CD Santa Clara won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.