Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3c8fd4519129c7cbbe9a027e73d5d8df3560f4959a6a03b19a5030fb4554665
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemiga Gamingof Nemiga Gaming, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,468
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,468 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60b4…6313backed L1ga Team | 71c | 700.53$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 161 | 60.2%97 W · 64 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 476.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.37 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked L1ga Team | 73c | 409.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 242.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.62 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed L1ga Team | 30c | 230$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nemiga Gaming | 29c | 222.48$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.22 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked L1ga Team | 69c | 145.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 57c | 126.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.87 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team | 23c | 116.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 91.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 90.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.43 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 87.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.43 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…5459backed Nemiga Gaming | 39c | 64.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Nemiga Gaming | 43c | 58.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed L1ga Team | 68c | 58.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed L1ga Team | 73c | 54.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed L1ga Team | 72c | 46.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 46.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…8ce0backed L1ga Team | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Nemiga Gaming | 30c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed L1ga Team | 67c | 44.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c6…4a55backed L1ga Team | 46c | 43.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 37.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | +18.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…a552backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 36.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd737…d351backed L1ga Team | 74c | 26.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 71c | 24.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 24.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 48c | 22.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…9198backed Nemiga Gaming | 73c | 16.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.