Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d77e0027d1e96342cfd5cb281e4fc662c417866c62096b38c77ee6350d5ba28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof Nemiga Gaming, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 1,677$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.35 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2b…825ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 38c | 1,570$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.72 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nemiga Gaming | 15c | 1,388$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.87 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nemiga Gaming | 4c | 1,113$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2694…415abacked Nemiga Gaming | 1c | 860.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x757b…7f5abacked L1ga Team | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Nemiga Gaming | 5c | 484.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 441.76$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed L1ga Team | 69c | 376.43$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.69 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nemiga Gaming | 9c | 374.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed L1ga Team | 73c | 373.7$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed L1ga Team | 66c | 291.98$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.27 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked L1ga Team | 58c | 285.97$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7eebbacked Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 278.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Nemiga Gaming | 24c | 263.24$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 491 | 33.6%165 W · 326 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed L1ga Team | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed Nemiga Gaming | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…55babacked L1ga Team | 75c | 167.42$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9425…f025backed L1ga Team | 72c | 162.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…649fbacked L1ga Team | 76c | 154.82$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed Nemiga Gaming | 25c | 142.39$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0a…8d66backed Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 140.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 139.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 139$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked L1ga Team | 72c | 138.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Nemiga Gaming | 10c | 120.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked L1ga Team | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed L1ga Team | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95d8…2922backed Nemiga Gaming | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9d…8ce0backed Nemiga Gaming | 27c | 96.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Nemiga Gaming | 19c | 96.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked L1ga Team | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…6373backed L1ga Team | 68c | 73.68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…48bebacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 70.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -8.0wins | -0.28per pick | 52cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nemiga Gaming | 32c | 69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked L1ga Team | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 33c | 54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd148…1327backed L1ga Team | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65e0…e51dbacked Nemiga Gaming | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed L1ga Team | 73c | 39.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 340 | 63.2%215 W · 125 L | +38.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3c…e6cabacked L1ga Team | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…347bbacked L1ga Team | 72c | 27.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2a…baf3backed L1ga Team | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked L1ga Team | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed L1ga Team | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerNemiga Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.