Other European Leagues · resolved market
Galatasaray SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67d8672489e783602c69999728093cd77f98a5e4c8ad268e9b9f9bb99ae9dc73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 49c | 4,999$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,549.39 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 4,265$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.63 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 4,037$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.22 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Under | 52c | 2,334$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 2,121$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.36 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 1c | 1,747$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…b1a4backed Over | 55c | 1,050$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Under | 42c | 709.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 37c | 698.12$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.75 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 51c | 449.97$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.49 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Under | 51c | 390.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Over | 47c | 274.5$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.48 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b6…bca1backed Over | 50c | 271.84$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed Over | 66c | 243.95$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 51c | 231.58$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.06 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 51c | 197.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 194$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c0…42b5backed Over | 48c | 194$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Over | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 29c | 177.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.18 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…280cbacked Under | 50c | 163.9$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…0399backed Under | 51c | 140.86$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 51c | 135.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 47c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 178 | 36.5%65 W · 113 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.21 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 61c | 117.17$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.7 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Under | 36c | 110.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafdd…ae76backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e14…8d33backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8b…0c2abacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -57%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe16c…9d62backed Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 92.72$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked Under | 53c | 88.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 57c | 86.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Under | 48c | 83.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 21c | 71.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64fd…f7aebacked Under | 75c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 71cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 61c | 68.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 51c | 63.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 143 | 60.8%87 W · 56 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee6…3848backed Over | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe113…375dbacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Under | 51c | 46.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…6e1dbacked Over | 50c | 44.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b32…d6a8backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 56c | 38.75$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Over | 57c | 38.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…2918backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…5d2bbacked Over | 68c | 30.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 51c | 29.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Under | 44c | 27.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7604…f7cdbacked Over | 50c | 21.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 50c | 21.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Galatasaray SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 3.5this page
- Galatasaray SK vs. Kayserispor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Galatasaray SK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.