Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c784f65d6fe864c196e91ef9d5c1d916bf138e9ca3a0325b6f976de15942eaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 52c | 26,038$13,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,528.8 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 48c | 25,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,000 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 2,022$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.03 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 1,721$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.68 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 51c | 1,695$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.21 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 51c | 1,506$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.89 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 474$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.22 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 44c | 456.05$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.28 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 55c | 330.77$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.5 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…cd55backed No | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 47c | 296.84$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.84 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 46cpaid | +91%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 52c | 280$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.3 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Yes | 45c | 213.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.54 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 46c | 201.94$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.95 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 88 | 14.8%13 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 41c | 195.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.18 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Yes | 53c | 182.81$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.21per pick | 60cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50bb…9aa6backed No | 49c | 175$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…4514backed Yes | 55c | 111.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 56c | 87.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 55c | 58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb375…59d6backed Yes | 51c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…6404backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c69…7576backed No | 60c | 44.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d19fbacked Yes | 39c | 43.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +200.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed No | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 56c | 39.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Yes | 44c | 38.64$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked Yes | 51c | 35.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Yes | 53c | 28.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.