Asian League · resolved market
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2025-11-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5e06254871b059aa94daa9cbd570d600b0fac9ca9a28e28d04be8c6da7bbabb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 75c | 2,218$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.27 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Yes | 23c | 1,302$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.27 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 29c | 956$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.24 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 25c | 587$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.34 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 138 | 21%29 W · 109 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 16c | 467.42$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.06 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 324.21$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 12c | 178$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Yes | 22c | 103.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked No | 78c | 101.95$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked No | 79c | 59.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…1845backed Yes | 32c | 31.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2025-11-30?this page
- Will Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2025-11-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.