Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x567562f9cd158f381da4a1fae301e9bae78ca60be0dd636f30585f1431923c98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 24c | 2,500$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 1,615$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.36 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 401.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 623 | 49.1%306 W · 317 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 71c | 347.2$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 331.95$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.36 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 13c | 190$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 238 | 45.8%109 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 175.14$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 32cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 29c | 69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 68c | 55.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1a…ec48backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 26c | 48.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 275 | 40.7%112 W · 163 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…1845backed Yes | 32c | 32.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab2…7e7cbacked Yes | 47c | 29.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…c968backed Yes | 38c | 28.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…b58fbacked No | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed No | 71c | 20.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2025-11-30?Yes won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2025-11-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.