TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,341
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,696

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,341 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x98f7…b3e4backed Under61c25,632$15,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,630.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c16,652$10,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,394.54,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over36c10,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,40012648.4%61 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over40c5,501$2,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,325.7730446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over39c4,571$1,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,788.0764046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0748…a31ebacked Over40c3,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,100650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over36c3,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9207353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over34c3,000$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.3621957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under65c2,813$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,831.911,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over40c2,752$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.1753246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Over37c2,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2605735.1%20 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Over40c1,297$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.2615446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c1,157$668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.433,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under63c1,127$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.861,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under64c1,030$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.161657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40023255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over40c841.99$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$505.213824.6%34 W · 104 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over36c800$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51222552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under61c756.5$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.3355941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c7…3fa6backed Over40c720$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+56.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41342851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37812951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under63c600$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3781163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x073f…ed92backed Over50c546.14$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0666…d31abacked Over58c517.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.241566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over40c503.83$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.319344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over40c503.45$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.7419662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked Over40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.22161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+56%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed Under69c438.61$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.081747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over39c424.47$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.832,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd277…73febacked Under43c420.9$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.516950.7%35 W · 34 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over27c420$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.327652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over60c396.75$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.7512875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under64c390.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25028446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over36c330$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.217648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over36c330$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.214244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over36c325.47$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.321849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under60c324$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.435148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Over31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.583534.3%12 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over28c320$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.3318152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21919750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19229053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19214950.3%75 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18321626.9%58 W · 158 L-0.6wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over36c280$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.216151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over36c250$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16043255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbea…e77bbacked Under42c244.65$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.921533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Over39c221.36$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.919354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12829053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0812650.8%64 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under61c196$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5620449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over36c190$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.611448.2%55 W · 59 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over36c180$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.29649%47 W · 49 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over35c170.83$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.8322357%127 W · 96 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over36c170$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.87951.9%41 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over36c170$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.820652.9%109 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over36c170$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.811952.9%63 W · 56 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over36c170$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.87045.7%32 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over36c170$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.89945.5%45 W · 54 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over36c170$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.820250.5%102 W · 100 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over36c170$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.811346.9%53 W · 60 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Under46c164.46$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.635232.7%17 W · 35 L-10.3wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Under62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over35c160$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over36c160$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.420949.8%104 W · 105 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under58c155$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.111,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9621051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9619652%102 W · 94 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9619951.8%103 W · 96 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Under60c147.63$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.585952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Under61c142$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.621040%4 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-43.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6787…ff88backed Under71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e66…01cbbacked Over53c140$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over40c124.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9915034.7%52 W · 98 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ad7…c097backed Over41c122.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.053040%12 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.819352.3%101 W · 92 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.89247.8%44 W · 48 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.818853.2%100 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.819053.7%102 W · 88 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.89343%40 W · 53 L-8.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Over36c120$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.815747.1%74 W · 83 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x392c…0bb4backed Under61c106.03$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over38c105.81$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.8114850.7%75 W · 73 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over40c105$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6311741.9%49 W · 68 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Over36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6419153.4%102 W · 89 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b5…798cbacked Over36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under62c96.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.88446.4%39 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over38c92$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0410634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Over39c91.95$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.092035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9134050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7516865.5%110 W · 58 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Over36c80$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.219553.3%104 W · 91 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…856cbacked Over36c80$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.22147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a6d…b3febacked Over24c80$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over38c78.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.858958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over36c70$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.812147.9%58 W · 63 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f03…766dbacked Over41c60.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.981275%9 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+68.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.419152.4%100 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Over36c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.420054.5%109 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.