La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56a61a91dc5fd15e77a670502489ac7bbe54d3fc94df61380fb7fb61528110db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb77e…e668backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 973.24$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.49 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 52c | 480$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 48c | 450$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb5…d643backed No | 54c | 442.59$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 51c | 416.53$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.22 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 51c | 399.95$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.98 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked No | 44c | 350$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 52c | 202$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.01 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Yes | 50c | 199.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 53c | 146.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 45c | 128.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.61 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 49c | 119$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed No | 53c | 115$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed No | 53c | 115$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked No | 53c | 87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 47c | 85.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc884…a4e6backed No | 54c | 79.62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 59c | 71.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.19 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.3wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked No | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 43c | 43.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed No | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -57%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed Yes | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…694ebacked Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c0…d9ffbacked No | 55c | 29.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Yes | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd253…14d9backed Yes | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6516…dfdabacked Yes | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Yes | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…8dc3backed Yes | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…e730backed Yes | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbba…e95bbacked Yes | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa4…b6a4backed Yes | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc880…a622backed No | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Yes | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…655ebacked Yes | 47c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b2…bdc4backed Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480a…e3c9backed Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 63cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.