NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Wild: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x005d59e2f2fc0af81ec3b78e8c44383265772f33d585e3f38bbe0c50a7036b25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $637,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $638,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $637,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 45c | 571,116$256,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256,457.7 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 55c | 261,460$143,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,656.79 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,000 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 55c | 100,000$55,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,000 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Over | 56c | 59,087$32,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,088.96 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 55c | 26,393$14,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,875.69 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 55c | 11,622$6,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,193.07 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Over | 55c | 7,777$4,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.65 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 7,068$3,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,175.62 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 45c | 2,474$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 55c | 2,100$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 56c | 2,065$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.33 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Under | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.16 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 44c | 1,246$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.24 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Over | 57c | 1,180$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.2 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 45c | 1,090$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.43 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 57c | 1,002$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.68 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Under | 44c | 842.54$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.72 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Over | 55c | 600.94$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.42 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 56c | 518$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.92 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 43c | 444$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.92 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6238…0523backed Over | 57c | 308.37$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.63 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 42c | 289.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Over | 57c | 205.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 152 | 57.2%87 W · 65 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 108 | 64.8%70 W · 38 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 56c | 168$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.92 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 13c | 151.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 388 | 57.2%222 W · 166 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 33c | 95.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 42c | 92$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 57c | 86.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 57c | 82.53$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33f3…d80abacked Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…da67backed Under | 67c | 74.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 72cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf885…54e7backed Under | 67c | 74.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…fbb3backed Under | 67c | 74.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 74cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1992…be7abacked Under | 67c | 74.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…ca7dbacked Under | 69c | 72.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00a4…5528backed Over | 76c | 65.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 73cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…f360backed Over | 76c | 65.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Over | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 45c | 55.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…7fc9backed Over | 55c | 44.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 253 | 54.2%137 W · 116 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 57c | 42.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Over | 45c | 33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…0a78backed Over | 56c | 29.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Over | 56c | 27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Over | 75c | 14.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Wild: O/U 5.5this page
- Panthers vs. WildPanthers won
- Panthers vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.