NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc07de856609219e238d1870df8f683541c8b6b50e17361fb79e027dd8c16f90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Wild, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Wild | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Panthers | 67c | 14,032$9,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,634.37 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Panthers | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…163bbacked Wild | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Panthers | 67c | 396.65$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Panthers | 71c | 338.03$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.03 | 226 | 55.8%126 W · 100 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Wild | 34c | 323.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Panthers | 69c | 280$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Panthers | 67c | 258.1$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.77 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Wild | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Wild | 31c | 246.04$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Wild | 30c | 202.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ed…6dc8backed Wild | 33c | 179$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e1…85a2backed Wild | 34c | 118.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Panthers | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Wild | 30c | 114.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 326 | 50%163 W · 163 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 65c | 107$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.45 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Wild | 22c | 105$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Panthers | 78c | 103.06$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 210 | 40.5%85 W · 125 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…baf6backed Wild | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Wild | 32c | 84.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Panthers | 70c | 72.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Panthers | 67c | 71$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Wild | 33c | 66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…c206backed Wild | 23c | 61.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Panthers | 67c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Wild | 33c | 61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.13 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Wild | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Wild | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Wild | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…ce1cbacked Wild | 17c | 59.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Panthers | 70c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Panthers | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe77b…f10abacked Panthers | 68c | 43.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Panthers | 70c | 42.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Panthers | 68c | 40.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Wild | 34c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Panthers | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Panthers | 70c | 29.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8677…4d2cbacked Panthers | 71c | 28.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Panthers | 67c | 17.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Panthers | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5f…a8a0backed Panthers | 67c | 14.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Panthers vs. WildPanthers won
- Panthers vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Wild: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.