NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Wild: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd60cb3ea6c35f58f89861f190edc8d3b19269777a1e9697dbc483829a9ef51b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 55c | 9,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.96 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 45c | 4,940$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,717 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 4,035$1,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.11 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 55c | 3,015$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.09 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Under | 4c | 2,415$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 45c | 2,133$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,173.15 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 46c | 2,085$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.9 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 56c | 1,214$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.91 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Under | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Over | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.89 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 54c | 809.6$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.18 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 160 | 56.3%90 W · 70 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 54c | 443.99$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 45c | 406.48$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.29 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 55c | 363$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.65 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bc…a233backed Under | 55c | 303.88$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.13 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -5.1wins | -0.39per pick | 62cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 47c | 234.86$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.35 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Over | 45c | 216.91$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 55c | 182$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.24 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 53c | 128.1$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.89 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Under | 56c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.8 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Over | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 45c | 90.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.83 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…2b01backed Under | 24c | 86.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 54c | 73.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.27 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 45c | 73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.15 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 42c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed Over | 47c | 53.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0925…462cbacked Over | 45c | 52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Under | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 55c | 41.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f4…dec3backed Under | 55c | 37.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 72c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 33c | 36.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…05d5backed Over | 45c | 31.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 262 | 43.5%114 W · 148 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed Over | 45c | 29.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.23 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 60c | 27.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3494…04f4backed Over | 45c | 26.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Under | 55c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Wild: O/U 6.5this page
- Panthers vs. WildPanthers won
- Panthers vs. Wild: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.