Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0669b26b61b98c0a79034773f048e0917c05589b49dafc459667bf6f634dd50c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Power Rangersof Power Rangers, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17f1…af18backed L1ga Team | 1c | 5,555$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed L1ga Team | 46c | 1,170$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.45 | 568 | 48.8%277 W · 291 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Power Rangers | 62c | 1,081$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.61 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked L1ga Team | 14c | 848.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked L1ga Team | 39c | 208.93$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed L1ga Team | 15c | 206.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.03 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadd…3955backed L1ga Team | 34c | 166.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed L1ga Team | 18c | 141.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Power Rangers | 73c | 84.59$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Power Rangers | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked L1ga Team | 23c | 66.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Power Rangers | 61c | 54.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9e…653ebacked Power Rangers | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x425f…0f7abacked Power Rangers | 61c | 34.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Power Rangers | 67c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Power Rangers | 68c | 27.7$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Power Rangers | 73c | 23.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85d…6832backed Power Rangers | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a7…9725backed Power Rangers | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPower Rangers won
- Dota 2: Power Rangers vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.