CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Metizport (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdde32a9c0a1cc42aa8e2e4308f13656de42b68e041daacfc83f7fc2411dc169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acendof Acend, Metizport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed Metizport | 52c | 2,923$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.86 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Metizport | 46c | 1,748$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.27 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Acend | 50c | 1,122$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Acend | 44c | 1,051$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.08 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Acend | 46c | 765.74$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Metizport | 46c | 595.48$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.3 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Acend | 44c | 529$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.24 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Acend | 49c | 449.22$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.05 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Acend | 53c | 292$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.58 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed Metizport | 55c | 274.97$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.73 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d3…5ea8backed Acend | 49c | 274.87$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.18 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed Acend | 50c | 214.03$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Metizport | 51c | 195$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Metizport | 64c | 192.18$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Acend | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Acend | 50c | 154$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Acend | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.31 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Acend | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed Metizport | 10c | 145.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Acend | 53c | 142$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Acend | 50c | 117$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.61 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed70…4f63backed Acend | 43c | 113.95$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.95 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Metizport | 52c | 100.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Acend | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Acend | 49c | 97.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Metizport | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.04 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…c2c9backed Metizport | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 67 | 65.7%44 W · 23 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…fc19backed Metizport | 66c | 75.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 61.3%95 W · 60 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Metizport | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bf…c63cbacked Acend | 49c | 59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 44cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…8b4fbacked Acend | 42c | 54.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d5…c615backed Acend | 50c | 50.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c2…3c0abacked Acend | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Metizport | 40c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57fb…1336backed Metizport | 57c | 38.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…ba6dbacked Acend | 46c | 38.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed Acend | 46c | 37.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8d…b3fabacked Acend | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked Metizport | 57c | 35.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x315e…2a1cbacked Acend | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5700…a854backed Acend | 49c | 30.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…8b79backed Acend | 79c | 25.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Acend | 64c | 20.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Metizport | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Acend | 55c | 18.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 596 | 47.3%282 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…1b6bbacked Acend | 79c | 17.64$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.