Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs hAze clan (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ee8c59b3129203f022cbebab768bbd478f716f2964ea2afee8bf68da1e432f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- hAze clanof Nemiga Gaming, hAze clan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0f4d…cc04backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 1,213$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58a4…4e12backed Nemiga Gaming | 35c | 1,186$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nemiga Gaming | 2c | 888.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6782…8f58backed hAze clan | 64c | 675$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce97…cd59backed hAze clan | 65c | 658$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2a…a4bbbacked Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 542.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63bb…bff0backed hAze clan | 64c | 537.99$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…4948backed hAze clan | 65c | 528$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da7…cb65backed Nemiga Gaming | 14c | 283.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Nemiga Gaming | 21c | 265.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…649fbacked hAze clan | 65c | 143.86$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.86 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 132.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.93 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…5607backed Nemiga Gaming | 41c | 123.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Nemiga Gaming | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Nemiga Gaming | 34c | 89.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked hAze clan | 69c | 87.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e84fbacked hAze clan | 64c | 76.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed hAze clan | 60c | 73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Nemiga Gaming | 36c | 57.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3275…de1ebacked Nemiga Gaming | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked hAze clan | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 228 | 45.6%104 W · 124 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd06…a25dbacked hAze clan | 67c | 49.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked hAze clan | 69c | 37.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…8b79backed hAze clan | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857a…bcbbbacked hAze clan | 60c | 20.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…de7ebacked hAze clan | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…00b3backed hAze clan | 78c | 14.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs hAze clan (BO3) - PGL Wallachia: Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs hAze clan - Game 1 WinnerhAze clan won
- Dota 2: Nemiga Gaming vs hAze clan - Game 2 WinnerhAze clan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.