Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nightblood Gaming vs YFP Gaming (BO3) - VCL North America Swiss Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa46df1799c4af6da9ec7183c731200023d64356f7d1a5974219f13f394a1ec1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- YFP Gamingof Nightblood Gaming, YFP Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed Nightblood Gaming | 43c | 1,690$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.75 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Nightblood Gaming | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed YFP Gaming | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed YFP Gaming | 46c | 489.13$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.13 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked YFP Gaming | 67c | 473$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.02 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked YFP Gaming | 50c | 366$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked YFP Gaming | 50c | 264$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Nightblood Gaming | 51c | 228.66$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 202.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked YFP Gaming | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…5110backed YFP Gaming | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed YFP Gaming | 49c | 139.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked YFP Gaming | 78c | 128.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked YFP Gaming | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…1c82backed YFP Gaming | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Nightblood Gaming | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b14…2d9bbacked YFP Gaming | 52c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed YFP Gaming | 51c | 57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 160 | 41.9%67 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed YFP Gaming | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Nightblood Gaming | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked YFP Gaming | 50c | 47.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked YFP Gaming | 66c | 45.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Nightblood Gaming | 28c | 38.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked YFP Gaming | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…8b79backed YFP Gaming | 75c | 27.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.