CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Imperial (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x398f882ec2d4dd006f74f7433942850d0002e219d1bce9c704d9712e5cc46bd1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galorysof Galorys, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eb0…d25bbacked Imperial | 76c | 8,528$6,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,516.35 | 271 | 33.2%90 W · 181 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5419…fcb2backed Galorys | 76c | 4,249$3,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.34 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Galorys | 24c | 3,063$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.2 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Galorys | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Galorys | 48c | 2,353$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.66 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Imperial | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.13 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Imperial | 3c | 1,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Galorys | 23c | 1,484$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.7 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Imperial | 64c | 1,010$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.36 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Galorys | 54c | 931.62$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.91 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 52c | 874.54$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.96 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Galorys | 20c | 850$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Imperial | 80c | 850$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galorys | 29c | 776.67$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.09 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Galorys | 55c | 731.33$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.27 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 61cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Galorys | 26c | 652.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.61 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Imperial | 58c | 602.04$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.09 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Imperial | 73c | 540.01$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.3 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Imperial | 33c | 511.45$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.79 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Galorys | 45c | 449.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.12 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Imperial | 30c | 403$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.35 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Galorys | 18c | 344.25$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.28 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b9…0e4dbacked Galorys | 33c | 325$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Imperial | 54c | 318.8$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.61 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed Galorys | 38c | 299.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Imperial | 47c | 291.55$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.03 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial | 51c | 278.46$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.73 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6233backed Galorys | 78c | 276.29$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.98 | 143 | 63.6%91 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afe…aec0backed Imperial | 42c | 239.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed Galorys | 24c | 231.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.69 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x020c…ab07backed Galorys | 53c | 207.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Galorys | 24c | 200$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Galorys | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa864…e47bbacked Galorys | 53c | 192.61$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Imperial | 75c | 189.37$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.52 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Imperial | 62c | 177.09$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…1761backed Imperial | 51c | 174.51$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Imperial | 79c | 161.66$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7646…b2a1backed Galorys | 52c | 161.54$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Galorys | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked Galorys | 25c | 150$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Galorys | 22c | 146.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.43 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Galorys | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…671fbacked Galorys | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Imperial | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x043c…e79fbacked Imperial | 66c | 110.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Imperial | 77c | 110$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5280backed Imperial | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed Imperial | 47c | 91.49$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…1208backed Galorys | 53c | 75.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Galorys | 21c | 75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Imperial | 50c | 72.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Imperial | 52c | 70.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Imperial | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Galorys | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…d934backed Galorys | 55c | 54.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ba…51ebbacked Imperial | 51c | 50.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Imperial | 30c | 43.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Galorys | 69c | 42.26$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Galorys | 43c | 36.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6bd…dd13backed Galorys | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 51 | 78.4%40 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc72e…656dbacked Galorys | 70c | 35.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Imperial | 62c | 30.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Imperial | 62c | 30.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Imperial | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e4…10c9backed Imperial | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc8…a5fbbacked Imperial | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Imperial | 47c | 26.87$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…e8c3backed Imperial | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Imperial | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed Imperial | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Imperial | 51c | 23.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0a…3a55backed Imperial | 54c | 20.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…eba3backed Imperial | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Imperial | 62c | 19.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf319…3077backed Galorys | 62c | 19.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…665bbacked Imperial | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e7…174fbacked Imperial | 72c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ae…4a4ebacked Imperial | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Imperial | 69c | 17.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Imperial (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerGalorys won
- Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerGalorys won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs Galorys (+1.5)Galorys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.