CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9040bf1a7960266dbb5cf73f84cc4493bca599f4c846c70a1d635188ba3bb606
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 2,800$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.4 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Eternal Fire | 29c | 2,250$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.49 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked 100 Thieves | 71c | 1,967$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.17 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 1,180$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.2 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 1,046$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.21 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed 100 Thieves | 71c | 1,017$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.95 | 462 | 43.3%200 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Eternal Fire | 32c | 996.48$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…0852backed Eternal Fire | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 204 | 45.6%93 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Eternal Fire | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 467.69$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.07 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 403.03$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 392.4$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Eternal Fire | 30c | 373.3$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.3 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 363.98$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.11 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 357.14$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.14 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 350.19$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.63 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Eternal Fire | 22c | 301.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 119 | 28.6%34 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Eternal Fire | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Eternal Fire | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Eternal Fire | 36c | 279.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5147…a0b7backed Eternal Fire | 32c | 270$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 117 | 32.5%38 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x774d…5cdabacked Eternal Fire | 5c | 191.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b22…ba7bbacked Eternal Fire | 45c | 173$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.85 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 32c | 162.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e6…fb0fbacked Eternal Fire | 24c | 156.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc25…4fa8backed Eternal Fire | 11c | 112$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Eternal Fire | 14c | 108$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 105.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Eternal Fire | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Eternal Fire | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…00a9backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 87.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3efe…2ed8backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 84.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Eternal Fire | 20c | 72.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Eternal Fire | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7e…faafbacked Eternal Fire | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked 100 Thieves | 70c | 57.04$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Eternal Fire | 37c | 28.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 25.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 21.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…8f3ebacked 100 Thieves | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…7dd5backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 19.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615c…6f13backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 18.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
- Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.