Mls · resolved market
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0cdc0200f9ce1a17dc6e7f027106f1a84f9ab533b95773038b14bf1adfaaeae0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 43c | 6,621$2,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,847.21 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed No | 57c | 3,535$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Yes | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed No | 57c | 2,387$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.41 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…1b97backed No | 57c | 2,022$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 55c | 1,959$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.59 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 61c | 1,634$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.61 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 23c | 1,100$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.24 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 1,081$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.47 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 56c | 835.13$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.46 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 44c | 652.98$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.31 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 59c | 614.11$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.23 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 56c | 574.03$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.69 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 43c | 571$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.63 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 544.01$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.87 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 531.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.48 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 65c | 513.25$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.87 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 450.05$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.06 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 44c | 450$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 439$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.43 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5048…4b29backed Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 41c | 366.44$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.9 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 44c | 338.07$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 4c | 242.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 56c | 238.93$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.97 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 56c | 237.82$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.15 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Yes | 43c | 220.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 56c | 217.19$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.56 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 68c | 199.05$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.04 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 57c | 184$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.12 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 45c | 180.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 56c | 167$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.48 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 43c | 140.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.14 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 44c | 135.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…237dbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 39c | 95.97$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.37 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 60cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c32…7782backed Yes | 44c | 72.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 45c | 69.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 68c | 67.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 78c | 64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 55c | 61.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed No | 58c | 59.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Yes | 34c | 51.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…485abacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed No | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 80c | 31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed No | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 57c | 20.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed No | 58c | 20.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Real Salt Lake vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-02-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.