Mls · resolved market
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-02-28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70b10da57feefb0ed6fc70560a5a011839431838e2d9c0e62be689fe49e18a34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,243
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Yes | 65c | 5,103$3,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,771.22 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 1,894$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.65 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 35c | 1,731$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.96 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 53c | 941.5$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.5 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4989…8ff0backed Yes | 68c | 823.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 665.47$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.6 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 34c | 617.54$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.22 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 34c | 611$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.62 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 587$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.64 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 577.12$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.03 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 575.44$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.12 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 47c | 528.29$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.3 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98ce…8296backed No | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 35c | 429.07$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.9 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +5.0wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd3…c3a1backed Yes | 30c | 407.45$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 30c | 407.17$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.93 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 62c | 367.13$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.43 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 296.64$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.28 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 141 | 29.8%42 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked Yes | 48c | 214.11$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -58%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed No | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 28c | 190.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.24 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5048…4b29backed Yes | 51c | 188.76$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Yes | 80c | 188.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 60c | 184.28$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.36 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 15c | 174.3$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed No | 36c | 125.04$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 41cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 20c | 116.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 29c | 106$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 32c | 98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 29c | 96.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 71c | 81.63$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 30c | 80$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 39c | 75.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 33c | 66.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 77c | 64.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 64.56$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.84 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 37c | 53.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 35c | 53.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 30c | 52.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes | 30c | 51.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 30c | 44.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693a…a7f5backed Yes | 36c | 43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 30c | 37.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 34.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Yes | 43c | 34.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…7c99backed No | 55c | 24.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b67…e889backed Yes | 62c | 20.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Yes | 76c | 18.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-02-28?this page
- Will Real Salt Lake vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-02-28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.