South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-02-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00f5be267c43db5a25d010ea45268b4410ae4eac601559d9c1cbd290ff496f4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed No | 61c | 22,715$13,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,908.14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 39c | 10,625$4,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,165.47 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Yes | 39c | 9,079$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.24 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 61c | 8,400$5,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.96 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes | 38c | 6,160$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.1 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 39c | 2,875$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,121.25 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 70c | 2,100$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.64 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes | 39c | 1,178$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.34 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb8…56ecbacked Yes | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 42c | 836.22$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.77 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Yes | 40c | 833$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.49 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 13c | 729.14$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.91 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 529.98$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.74 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 518.03$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.64 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed No | 58c | 486.21$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.21 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.4wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 4c | 454.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes | 39c | 384.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 69c | 378.08$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 39c | 371$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.69 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 44c | 341.8$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.64 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 12c | 328.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 39c | 303.9$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69a…3360backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 57c | 241.93$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 39c | 216.8$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.55 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…45f0backed Yes | 38c | 184.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 62c | 180$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 56c | 180$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4e1abacked No | 58c | 146.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…2778backed Yes | 46c | 138.11$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…6ce1backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 39c | 115.2$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed No | 61c | 102$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.78 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…d145backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…485abacked Yes | 35c | 97.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 66c | 95.62$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 34c | 94.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Yes | 39c | 91.18$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…ba8ebacked Yes | 39c | 89.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 26c | 88.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…f464backed Yes | 39c | 77.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 60c | 74.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 65.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 63c | 57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 36c | 55.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 60c | 47.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 36c | 42.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Yes | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6c2ebacked No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 36c | 32.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 39c | 28.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95dc…4b45backed No | 59c | 24.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 57c | 21.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed No | 62c | 19.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-02-24?this page
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-02-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.