South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-02-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c476cbc0545e4606660c2f94954b709c1dc0b9d02a0310952f302909c1b40a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd43…88d7backed Yes | 28c | 1,316$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 34c | 710$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.92 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 635.01$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.74 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 544.19$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.05 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 406.28$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.13 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked No | 33c | 301$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.67 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e74…93bcbacked No | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 270.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 64c | 234.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef7b…1e36backed Yes | 68c | 150.25$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 74c | 116.84$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 26c | 115.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yes | 26c | 109.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564b…8348backed Yes | 72c | 105.61$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 21c | 105$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 30c | 100.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked No | 32c | 99.25$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 75.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 24c | 59.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 33c | 51$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 211 | 32.7%69 W · 142 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 71c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 53c | 24.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…2778backed No | 77c | 16.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2026-02-24?this page
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Instituto AC Córdoba end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-02-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.