Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Stonehill Skyhawks (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x010af75241a63ea9162968c4f83f0b5efdd859064df1d4b8c8c2dab24871d747
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago State Cougarsof Stonehill Skyhawks, Chicago State Cougars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $645,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $651,775
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $645,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Stonehill Skyhawks | 47c | 628,249$295,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295,145.68 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Chicago State Cougars | 53c | 194,038$102,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,197.74 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Chicago State Cougars | 53c | 184,999$98,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,949.53 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Chicago State Cougars | 53c | 133,337$70,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,668.39 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Chicago State Cougars | 53c | 50,000$26,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,500 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chicago State Cougars | 53c | 29,500$15,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,865 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed Chicago State Cougars | 53c | 15,000$7,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Chicago State Cougars | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.3 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Chicago State Cougars | 53c | 5,167$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,435 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Chicago State Cougars | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Chicago State Cougars | 53c | 4,673$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,196.31 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…9109backed Chicago State Cougars | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Chicago State Cougars | 61c | 2,383$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.38 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 54c | 1,852$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.84 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Chicago State Cougars | 53c | 1,085$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.95 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Chicago State Cougars | 54c | 854.07$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Stonehill Skyhawks | 48c | 666.67$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Chicago State Cougars | 53c | 590$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.3 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Chicago State Cougars | 55c | 362.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.03 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Chicago State Cougars | 54c | 206.34$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.92 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Chicago State Cougars | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Chicago State Cougars | 55c | 167.27$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.27 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 53c | 125$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Chicago State Cougars | 54c | 93.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Chicago State Cougars | 54c | 82.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23f7…f114backed Chicago State Cougars | 56c | 67.86$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed Chicago State Cougars | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Chicago State Cougars | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Chicago State Cougars | 56c | 55.36$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Chicago State Cougars | 54c | 37.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Chicago State Cougars | 55c | 36.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9064…084dbacked Chicago State Cougars | 56c | 27.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Stonehill Skyhawks (-5.5)this page
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Stonehill SkyhawksStonehill Skyhawks won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Stonehill Skyhawks: O/U 135.5Over won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Stonehill Skyhawks: O/U 136.5Over won
- Chicago State Cougars vs. Stonehill Skyhawks: O/U 138.5Over won
- Spread: Stonehill Skyhawks (-4.5)Chicago State Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.