TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Chicago State Cougars vs. Stonehill Skyhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stonehill Skyhawksof Chicago State Cougars, Stonehill Skyhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,790
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,790 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xca5e…b376backed Chicago State Cougars1c2,264$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d2…92c8backed Stonehill Skyhawks78c1,573$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.744757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+235.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Stonehill Skyhawks22c1,375$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,078.882,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Chicago State Cougars38c1,278$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.641,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Stonehill Skyhawks58c1,062$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.72,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Chicago State Cougars35c1,049$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.292,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Stonehill Skyhawks63c991$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.675,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4dc…0da7backed Chicago State Cougars3c666.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Chicago State Cougars6c600$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.61478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3798…27fabacked Chicago State Cougars2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123312.1%4 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Chicago State Cougars10c500$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.191608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Chicago State Cougars24c496.21$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.4442327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a4e…3309backed Chicago State Cougars64c470.28$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005735.1%20 W · 37 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Stonehill Skyhawks62c428.83$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.974,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Chicago State Cougars35c415.18$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.9312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Stonehill Skyhawks9c400$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36413313.5%18 W · 115 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Chicago State Cougars52c361.93$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.536845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Stonehill Skyhawks62c322.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.668956.2%50 W · 39 L-8.2wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-13.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Chicago State Cougars37c316.07$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.9552928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Chicago State Cougars76c309.28$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.773,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Stonehill Skyhawks41c293.56$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.441,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Stonehill Skyhawks62c291.34$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.5781453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Chicago State Cougars33c209.86$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.681,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ac…9955backed Chicago State Cougars15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305438.9%21 W · 33 L+15.0wins+0.28per pick11cpaid+213.8%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x1969…a09cbacked Stonehill Skyhawks37c185.25$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Stonehill Skyhawks42c135.11$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.382,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Chicago State Cougars13c125.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.958814.8%13 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Stonehill Skyhawks65c122.06$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.272650%13 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53be…8b7fbacked Stonehill Skyhawks64c112.13$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.865100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Chicago State Cougars13c102.05$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.13993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7441…cb79backed Chicago State Cougars40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.33per pick41cpaid-80.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stonehill Skyhawks54c91.47$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.051,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcaf…9343backed Chicago State Cougars55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Stonehill Skyhawks60c90$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Chicago State Cougars30c66.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stonehill Skyhawks60c56$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.481,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5dc4…17f3backed Chicago State Cougars63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe88b…fa5abacked Chicago State Cougars40c47.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.934649.1%170 W · 176 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Stonehill Skyhawks62c45$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0135050.3%176 W · 174 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Chicago State Cougars33c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9212840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Stonehill Skyhawks67c45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6622050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Chicago State Cougars55c44.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8245953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Stonehill Skyhawks76c44.68$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.681457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Stonehill Skyhawks61c40.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.924673.9%34 W · 12 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Stonehill Skyhawks59c34.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.32751.9%14 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick60cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Chicago State Cougars70c34.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1910126.7%27 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce0a…2d88backed Stonehill Skyhawks37c34.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.367557.3%43 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Stonehill Skyhawks59c33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5349747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Stonehill Skyhawks41c31.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.699412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b7…304dbacked Chicago State Cougars38c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.541030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x382c…2261backed Stonehill Skyhawks79c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.33470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b96…f098backed Chicago State Cougars38c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.34621.7%10 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0097…f101backed Chicago State Cougars70c26.91$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.844126.8%11 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4a4…3117backed Chicago State Cougars40c26$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.363910.3%4 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1cb…fb77backed Stonehill Skyhawks46c26$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0410252%53 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Stonehill Skyhawks64c25.26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Stonehill Skyhawks45c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7130746.3%142 W · 165 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Stonehill Skyhawks62c20.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7399045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Chicago State Cougars66c17.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3348462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13a8…642bbacked Stonehill Skyhawks73c16.19$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.31553.3%8 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick72cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67b9…c6e4backed Chicago State Cougars68c15.55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.