Lol · resolved market
LoL: Dplus KIA vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f0998d6ed005e470207f324568e701a752960973e083d9138fb86040c8841a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dplus KIAof Dplus KIA, OKSavingsBank BRION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,225
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,225 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1461…30a1backed OKSavingsBank BRION | 5c | 16,379$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.59 | 204 | 38.2%78 W · 126 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed OKSavingsBank BRION | 20c | 5,000$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.57 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a8…2927backed OKSavingsBank BRION | 1c | 4,174$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a65…15b1backed OKSavingsBank BRION | 20c | 3,303$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Dplus KIA | 79c | 2,756$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.28 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked OKSavingsBank BRION | 3c | 2,500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,009 | 48.2%486 W · 523 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked OKSavingsBank BRION | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 848 | 40.8%346 W · 502 L | -39.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed OKSavingsBank BRION | 19c | 2,222$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.18 | 402 | 32.8%132 W · 270 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed OKSavingsBank BRION | 17c | 2,213$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.89 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked OKSavingsBank BRION | 19c | 1,500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x937f…e1a2backed Dplus KIA | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed OKSavingsBank BRION | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…41f3backed OKSavingsBank BRION | 2c | 999.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 62 | 3.2%2 W · 60 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -77.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked OKSavingsBank BRION | 20c | 999.95$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Dplus KIA | 80c | 970.28$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.06 | 1,469 | 61.4%902 W · 567 L | -20.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…e578backed OKSavingsBank BRION | 15c | 911.19$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd3…fefabacked Dplus KIA | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5784…6788backed OKSavingsBank BRION | 17c | 479.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.48 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed OKSavingsBank BRION | 16c | 299.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf08d…580fbacked Dplus KIA | 80c | 296.99$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a0…05c4backed OKSavingsBank BRION | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 350 | 35.1%123 W · 227 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked OKSavingsBank BRION | 22c | 259.77$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 306 | 32%98 W · 208 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed OKSavingsBank BRION | 15c | 240$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f80…e222backed OKSavingsBank BRION | 13c | 226.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed Dplus KIA | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Dplus KIA | 80c | 188.08$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed OKSavingsBank BRION | 14c | 181.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed OKSavingsBank BRION | 13c | 160$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed OKSavingsBank BRION | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 460 | 33.9%156 W · 304 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc761…4fc8backed Dplus KIA | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked OKSavingsBank BRION | 18c | 140.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 282 | 11%31 W · 251 L | -19.9wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed OKSavingsBank BRION | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…2560backed Dplus KIA | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 376 | 60.9%229 W · 147 L | -28.1wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…17aabacked Dplus KIA | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -13.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs OKSavingsBank BRION (BO3)Dplus KIA won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs OKSavingsBank BRION - Game 1 WinnerDplus KIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.