La Liga · resolved market
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6bad3c52f1cdc646518bad9e50873b8d607d87a9ef2e7fec4756fadae7251df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 72c | 1,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 1,140$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.2 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 29c | 743.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.73 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 659.48$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.59 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 438.31$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.9 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 27c | 409.3$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.51 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 70c | 356.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.9 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 25c | 242.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 28c | 237.5$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 26c | 151.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed No | 71c | 141$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fc…ba9abacked Yes | 29c | 127$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4669…785ebacked Yes | 29c | 126$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 23c | 118.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.12 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked No | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581b…0290backed Yes | 16c | 105$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 75c | 77.17$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 70c | 76.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d67…cf38backed Yes | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 74c | 59.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…0852backed No | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked No | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Yes | 29c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked No | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 60c | 38.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 70c | 37.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 350 | 54%189 W · 161 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…edcebacked No | 71c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…9f7cbacked No | 71c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked No | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 66cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed No | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed No | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c1…090dbacked No | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 48cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37e8…441fbacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…dac6backed No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed No | 71c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed No | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Levante UD end in a draw?this page
- Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa win on 2025-12-17?Yes won
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-12-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.