CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-GANK Esports vs megoshort (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9bb66b1f8e6c11705671633a9b32af436fa372ace8f1b800ad23d78f055a8ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- megoshortof ex-GANK Esports, megoshort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,161 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked megoshort | 52c | 9,274$4,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,414.94 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked ex-GANK Esports | 46c | 6,815$3,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,158.03 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…251cbacked ex-GANK Esports | 47c | 4,569$2,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,137.54 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed ex-GANK Esports | 45c | 3,028$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.62 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed megoshort | 54c | 1,940$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.74 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ex-GANK Esports | 32c | 1,900$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.11 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked megoshort | 69c | 1,253$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.73 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcb…b106backed ex-GANK Esports | 1c | 1,046$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd2…0c9dbacked ex-GANK Esports | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed megoshort | 52c | 805.23$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.9 | 161 | 52.8%85 W · 76 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed megoshort | 55c | 767.22$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.25 | 108 | 41.7%45 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed megoshort | 54c | 708$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.25 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked ex-GANK Esports | 49c | 612.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd7…ebb7backed megoshort | 75c | 584.56$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.14 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked megoshort | 77c | 474.66$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.26 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed megoshort | 54c | 464$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked megoshort | 53c | 447.8$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.45 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed megoshort | 54c | 438$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.48 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed ex-GANK Esports | 15c | 434.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.11 | 388 | 35.8%139 W · 249 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-GANK Esports | 48c | 400$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.3 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed megoshort | 54c | 349.3$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.77 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed megoshort | 70c | 342.04$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…b900backed megoshort | 56c | 322.9$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad09…3c3fbacked ex-GANK Esports | 47c | 319.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.19 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed megoshort | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…72bfbacked ex-GANK Esports | 36c | 279.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed ex-GANK Esports | 47c | 237.37$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.57 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked megoshort | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked megoshort | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked megoshort | 56c | 180$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed ex-GANK Esports | 7c | 159$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked megoshort | 68c | 150.82$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.53 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed megoshort | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked megoshort | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed megoshort | 52c | 142.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed ex-GANK Esports | 44c | 137$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked megoshort | 49c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.7 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed megoshort | 61c | 106.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked megoshort | 59c | 98.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.96 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked megoshort | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed ex-GANK Esports | 45c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked megoshort | 53c | 85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 87 | 59.8%52 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed megoshort | 54c | 78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed megoshort | 50c | 75.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed megoshort | 56c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked ex-GANK Esports | 51c | 65.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.09 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked megoshort | 63c | 53.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed ex-GANK Esports | 45c | 52.34$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed ex-GANK Esports | 45c | 46.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed megoshort | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked ex-GANK Esports | 46c | 37.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bff…267ebacked megoshort | 53c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +7.2wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ex-GANK Esports | 32c | 34.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked megoshort | 48c | 29.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked ex-GANK Esports | 49c | 28.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed ex-GANK Esports | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked megoshort | 47c | 26.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…0ff3backed ex-GANK Esports | 60c | 25.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked ex-GANK Esports | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked megoshort | 55c | 24.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc393…590abacked megoshort | 57c | 23.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked megoshort | 45c | 23.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked ex-GANK Esports | 45c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked megoshort | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked megoshort | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f50…e59ebacked megoshort | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed megoshort | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked ex-GANK Esports | 68c | 14.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-GANK Esports vs megoshort (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-GANK Esports vs megoshort - Map 1 Winnermegoshort won
- Counter-Strike: ex-GANK Esports vs megoshort - Map 2 Winnerex-GANK Esports won
- Map Handicap: MEGO (-1.5) vs ex-GANK Esports (+1.5)ex-GANK Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.