TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$104,908
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,702

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,908 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4133…5e70backed No74c17,644$13,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,633.4858248.8%284 W · 298 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed No72c15,312$11,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,287.432268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes28c14,721$4,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,122.0126645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes29c7,000$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0301838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c6,493$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81859741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No72c5,552$3,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,554.451662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No76c3,964$3,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.3660136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed No76c3,847$2,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.2820462.3%127 W · 77 L+19.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Yes29c3,350$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.52944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fca…9d33backed Yes30c3,267$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No68c3,011$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.611190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick74cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No71c2,387$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.3429846.3%138 W · 160 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No71c2,240$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.614351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No73c2,129$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.3321460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed No71c2,029$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.272161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No72c1,801$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.311573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+30.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c1,328$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.4512352.8%65 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2073…385bbacked Yes30c1,225$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.251163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick40cpaid+64.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No76c1,095$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.89754.6%53 W · 44 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No76c1,080$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.1220643.2%89 W · 117 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b9b…b900backed No71c1,018$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.23785.7%6 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick76cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c5b…0584backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002450%12 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+44.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7479…d35fbacked Yes31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3103138.7%12 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe726…4c87backed Yes29c938.74$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.231520%3 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes34c735$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.94623.9%11 W · 35 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No76c700$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1681643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes29c663.24$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.345248.1%25 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No72c587$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.366558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020042.5%85 W · 115 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No55c508.62$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.568971.9%64 W · 25 L+12.4wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+29.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Yes29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1458626.7%23 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No76c457.66$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8438253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c454.08$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1463346.3%293 W · 340 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes8c437.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354528.9%13 W · 32 L+5.7wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+78.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes27c424.07$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.53748.6%18 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43ea…8ec9backed No72c420.31$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcddb…0d22backed No72c417.46$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.892552%13 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf49…e7f4backed No71c406.52$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.892166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x79e9…6c98backed No71c406.43$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.12955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…fec1backed Yes10c400$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick30cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No70c387.49$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2539842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes29c385.03$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6614650.7%74 W · 72 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b4…6dfdbacked Yes29c365.52$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes28c360$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.88032.5%26 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012230.3%37 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xfa83…4965backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-53.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes7c332.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.259749.5%48 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8713146.6%61 W · 70 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed No65c253.29$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.651855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No74c253$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.296250%31 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x699f…d5c6backed Yes29c229.69$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3612644.4%56 W · 70 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes28c221.43$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628232.9%27 W · 55 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes28c221$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8812938%49 W · 80 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe822…f89fbacked No71c203$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.871346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581921.1%4 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x886e…afd6backed Yes39c179.49$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25ec…6fc4backed Yes26c172.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.96837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23d3…eb28backed Yes6c158.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.06837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d1…21c7backed Yes30c156.33$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.94938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No76c153$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9712046.7%56 W · 64 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No75c150.53$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.061662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Yes29c147$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.631145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Yes29c145.07$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.073151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked No73c137.96$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.781471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa287…b615backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.583100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.583151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes29c129.97$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.211846.6%55 W · 63 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes29c125.93$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.524632.6%15 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc18…2ce9backed No65c123$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.052740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6578…cdadbacked No72c122.36$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+74.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No76c120.14$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.736141%25 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e0…56bcbacked No72c118.07$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…ce87backed Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303630.6%11 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-39.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaea3…95aabacked No71c113.6$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.94475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+42.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Yes29c113$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.778647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d31…70f5backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304831.3%15 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e24…cea8backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309144%40 W · 51 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269546.3%44 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269426.6%25 W · 69 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+21.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked No70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305935.6%21 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262615.4%4 W · 22 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-53.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed No72c99.69$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.911478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfae1…7bb6backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed No73c86$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.563953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde7a…737bbacked Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No72c81.88$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.921573.3%11 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed Yes29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.854957.1%28 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Yes28c78.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2617045.9%78 W · 92 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5159…03cebacked Yes29c78.28$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234136.6%15 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x795a…2befbacked Yes29c76.52$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8260…eb17backed Yes29c75.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No71c75.43$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.722860.7%17 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes29c74.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.162259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes29c74.03$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7643427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb02d…208ebacked Yes28c70.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3541…644bbacked Yes29c70$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203923.1%9 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.