TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-01-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$126,237
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,423

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,237 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffe…9f71backed No1c5,193$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.312037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked No19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.9925752.1%134 W · 123 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No2c4,630$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.826015%9 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick15cpaid-66.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No6c3,489$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6161441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No1c2,840$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.371305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked No16c2,806$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.964235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No16c2,518$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40034628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed No16c1,875$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007237.5%27 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No18c1,611$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9842048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed No18c1,557$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.0211324.8%28 W · 85 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8052…cd55backed No17c1,245$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.421040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked No15c1,200$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808226.8%22 W · 60 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked No3c1,100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.46841.2%28 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No19c999.94$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.9933057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No10c962.83$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.716325.4%16 W · 47 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-48.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed No14c940.88$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.722552%13 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1eaf…feb3backed Yes79c885.94$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.652100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No15c742.43$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.291,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked No20c736.91$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.916043.3%26 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No2c627.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3111712%14 W · 103 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9028…1eedbacked No16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002814.3%4 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3e42…8f95backed No16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick43cpaid-56.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No17c502.71$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.411,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed No16c500$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808944.9%40 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No17c455.25$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.751,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7636956.9%210 W · 159 L+20.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No15c399.97$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.618251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed No16c373.93$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8312048.3%58 W · 62 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed No18c370$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.64052.5%21 W · 19 L+7.1wins+0.18per pick35cpaid+50.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No36c300$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.551847.3%245 W · 273 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b23…bbb5backed No16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010539%41 W · 64 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x040a…5d6bbacked No16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c1…28f7backed No20c244$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked No19c225$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7519357.5%111 W · 82 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+16.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked No6c216.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.96735.8%24 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No19c210$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.965557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No19c210$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.960557.5%348 W · 257 L+25.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No19c210$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.937557.3%215 W · 160 L+21.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5b…5950backed No11c206.56$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8310051%51 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ec8…397bbacked No6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.25442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4222448.7%109 W · 115 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3883459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No20c191$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.226229.8%78 W · 184 L+10.2wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No19c165$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3537554.9%206 W · 169 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No18c165$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.735157.8%203 W · 148 L+18.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Yes80c150$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3018646.8%87 W · 99 L+11.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38dd…c20abacked No14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213847.4%18 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No23c150$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7533124.2%80 W · 251 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.559958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.537958%220 W · 159 L+24.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x329c…18dfbacked No19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.57640.8%31 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe977…fcd8backed Yes80c127$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.43655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c7…c6bdbacked No16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce70…0be2backed No16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No19c125$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7535056.9%199 W · 151 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb72e…7c3bbacked Yes80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1b73…45d9backed No16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef80…7654backed No16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202516%4 W · 21 L-5.1wins-0.20per pick36cpaid-60%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1929259.2%173 W · 119 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1832357.6%186 W · 137 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed No19c95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0525553.7%137 W · 118 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2ef…9f55backed No16c93.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No19c90$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.136259.1%214 W · 148 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+14%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No19c90$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.127354.9%150 W · 123 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No19c90$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.181559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No19c85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1526158.2%152 W · 109 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked No19c85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1532255.9%180 W · 142 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No19c85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1530554.8%167 W · 138 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No19c85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1525456.3%143 W · 111 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No19c85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1526058.5%152 W · 108 L+15.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed No19c85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1532656.7%185 W · 141 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No19c85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1528255.7%157 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked No19c82.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2729657.8%171 W · 125 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No19c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2536758.3%214 W · 153 L+23.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed No18c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.532755.7%182 W · 145 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No19c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2538358.2%223 W · 160 L+24.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef53…f599backed No16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.19per pick33cpaid-62.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad42…5d73backed No16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-45.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4a0…993dbacked No16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104339.5%17 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x828c…fb4cbacked No16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick31cpaid-4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked No19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.433156.8%188 W · 143 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.426958.4%157 W · 112 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.446660.5%282 W · 184 L+30.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked No19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.433057%188 W · 142 L+17.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.429057.9%168 W · 122 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked No19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.431557.8%182 W · 133 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.428359.4%168 W · 115 L+16.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No18c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.832158.6%188 W · 133 L+18.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23c0…77babacked No20c58.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcf…146ebacked No20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108243.9%36 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7b0…2554backed Yes80c31.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed Yes80c15.62$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1227173.8%200 W · 71 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick76cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.