Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne City FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc3c16fa2e4668062063c4fe505fa263bec0be38e86e3921d11e6bc47cc09eae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Under | 60c | 2,350$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.69 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 1,727$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.94 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…85bbbacked Over | 55c | 1,383$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.35 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 45c | 892.3$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.17 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 865.67$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.22 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 67c | 653.3$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.3 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 31c | 598.47$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.03 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 29c | 567.14$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.77 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 472.34$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.13 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e46…ae6dbacked Over | 71c | 458.15$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 50c | 437.09$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.34 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 71c | 380.28$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…81d7backed Over | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 32c | 282.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 286 | 59.4%170 W · 116 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 71c | 280.38$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.38 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e63ebacked Under | 7c | 259.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 34c | 223.64$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 309 | 54.7%169 W · 140 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ee…1943backed Over | 76c | 182.41$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Under | 36c | 165.26$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -65%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c36…c074backed Over | 71c | 152.92$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2683…2be7backed Over | 43c | 138.27$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 101.47$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…9c9bbacked Over | 70c | 100.23$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Over | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef25…c969backed Under | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Under | 45c | 86.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Under | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 65c | 37.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a58…149dbacked Over | 56c | 33.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…fb93backed Over | 62c | 32.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 65c | 30.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 58c | 30.4$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0685…2b0cbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…bc38backed Over | 72c | 29.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Over | 69c | 28.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Over | 71c | 28.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…8593backed Over | 70c | 27.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3e…cbb1backed Under | 46c | 26.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb8…846ebacked Under | 47c | 26.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 71c | 23.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f0…7e1ebacked Over | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf837…8b61backed Over | 77c | 15.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd902…d076backed Over | 71c | 14.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…b7f6backed Over | 74c | 13.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne City FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Melbourne City FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.