Australian A League · resolved market
Melbourne City FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b0bd8e43ea7e29408824add8b68c4a70a30f93a03f97493ffb2c5e61aaf8e74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed No | 49c | 873.08$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.08 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 50c | 618.75$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.17 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 342.11$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Yes | 52c | 211.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 37c | 192.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.1 | 349 | 37.8%132 W · 217 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Yes | 52c | 173.08$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a4…da1fbacked Yes | 31c | 120.84$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked No | 69c | 120$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 107.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 334 | 44%147 W · 187 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb0…3e75backed Yes | 54c | 103.7$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e9…5112backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc61a…c00cbacked Yes | 52c | 93.15$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.71 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed No | 56c | 46.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed No | 71c | 37.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.44per pick | 69cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…aa35backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…0814backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Melbourne City FC vs. Auckland FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Melbourne City FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Melbourne City FC vs. Auckland FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.