Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knights: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2dc14cbe79a86e6d908683e081f43cd524cd5e3b25724634fe23bd15d0c2260
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $623,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $625,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $623,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 50c | 592,080$293,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293,109.2 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Under | 51c | 300,000$153,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147,000 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 50c | 113,810$57,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,360.82 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 51c | 70,000$35,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,300 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Under | 47c | 34,035$15,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,038.61 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 30,015$14,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,282.68 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 11,800$5,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,894.82 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Under | 51c | 11,111$5,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,444.39 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 5,338$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.35 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 51c | 4,000$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Under | 49c | 2,600$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.97 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ac…9955backed Over | 2c | 1,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +15.0wins | +0.28per pick | 11cpaid | +213.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked Under | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 52c | 1,429$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.41 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…27fabacked Over | 1c | 1,400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 51c | 1,394$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.8 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Over | 1c | 1,100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 51c | 1,000$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Over | 2c | 970.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 49c | 737$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.08 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b49…d0dfbacked Under | 48c | 513.99$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.27 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 504.75$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.76 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 46c | 500.2$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.09 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Under | 75c | 470.19$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 41c | 424.65$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.18 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Under | 49c | 326.45$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 280.65$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.65 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 28c | 277.22$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.63 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 52c | 239.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.51 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…28d6backed Over | 67c | 223.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…6df7backed Under | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 51c | 209.67$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 29c | 206.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.88 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb248…3652backed Under | 51c | 196.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.05 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Under | 51c | 166.82$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.18 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 49c | 129.12$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.01 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Over | 18c | 128.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 52c | 113.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 52c | 102.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7eb…28a9backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.37per pick | 49cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Under | 51c | 96.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Over | 15c | 91.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 52c | 82.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9443…dd60backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…fb93backed Under | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…bbfebacked Under | 73c | 75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49bb…4d4cbacked Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 152 | 50%76 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 46c | 42.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 51c | 40.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 151 | 56.3%85 W · 66 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…5cc6backed Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…6354backed Under | 52c | 38.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…d1dbbacked Over | 51c | 37.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Under | 47c | 37.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 52c | 34.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Under | 49c | 32.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Under | 49c | 32.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Under | 49c | 32.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…822dbacked Over | 49c | 31.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6634…a779backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Under | 55c | 26.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe008…8ff5backed Under | 49c | 20.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Under | 52c | 19.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d82…ed61backed Under | 65c | 18.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knights: O/U 150.5this page
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF KnightsUCF Knights won
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knights: O/U 149.5Under won
- Cincinnati Bearcats vs. UCF Knights: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: UCF Knights (-2.5)Cincinnati Bearcats won
- Spread: UCF Knights (-3.5)Cincinnati Bearcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.