Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Team Tidebound (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a9ac2c5e24ed8dcae9c2173658c9415fad02d2547cbe23f14e50d81f3b24669
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof Natus Vincere, Team Tidebound
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 12,518$7,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,257.35 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +10.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Team Tidebound | 32c | 11,110$3,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,596.36 | 148 | 40.5%60 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Team Tidebound | 41c | 7,206$2,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982 | 191 | 48.7%93 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Tidebound | 26c | 4,922$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.02 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…b13ebacked Team Tidebound | 9c | 4,840$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 4,651$3,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.83 | 158 | 52.5%83 W · 75 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f7…dc13backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 4,465$2,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,143.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067a…404cbacked Team Tidebound | 48c | 4,465$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…5695backed Natus Vincere | 67c | 4,248$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.79 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6260…fccbbacked Team Tidebound | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc7…5b85backed Team Tidebound | 7c | 3,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Tidebound | 32c | 2,198$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.13 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Tidebound | 46c | 2,138$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.28 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 2,040$1,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.98 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…e607backed Team Tidebound | 42c | 1,614$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.84 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Team Tidebound | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 1,210$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.32 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +14.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 1,016$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.65 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 991.35$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 946.19$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.91 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…c55ebacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 890.57$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.04 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Tidebound | 25c | 769.68$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.73 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Team Tidebound | 27c | 747.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe48…5895backed Team Tidebound | 36c | 686.21$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.72 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…a111backed Team Tidebound | 27c | 632.19$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.24 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 630.06$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.83 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Natus Vincere | 54c | 593.06$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.06 | 50 | 78%39 W · 11 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Natus Vincere | 57c | 550.72$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.81 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Tidebound | 21c | 525$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 520$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.49 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 518.52$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.52 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…9f77backed Team Tidebound | 37c | 511.35$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Team Tidebound | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Team Tidebound | 47c | 499.98$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 497.52$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.86 | 612 | 49.7%304 W · 308 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 489.75$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.86 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Natus Vincere | 76c | 487.82$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.02 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Team Tidebound | 40c | 451.52$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.61 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Team Tidebound | 22c | 445.52$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.27 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -14.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd5…81b0backed Team Tidebound | 28c | 414.64$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.15 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 407.32$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4026…93f8backed Team Tidebound | 22c | 403.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Team Tidebound | 45c | 399.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Team Tidebound | 48c | 388$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.24 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Team Tidebound | 46c | 387.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.47 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 379.44$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.36 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Team Tidebound | 47c | 352$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.44 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 343.45$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.87 | 254 | 44.5%113 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee8…dbb1backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 334.74$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Team Tidebound | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed Team Tidebound | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 299.98$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Natus Vincere | 65c | 299.27$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.25 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…9ea9backed Team Tidebound | 28c | 285.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1770…9483backed Team Tidebound | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…3050backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4f…87ccbacked Team Tidebound | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…49b1backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x031d…db9dbacked Team Tidebound | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 156 | 53.2%83 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…0338backed Natus Vincere | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x419b…6ea1backed Team Tidebound | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…1d61backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 182.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.69 | 46 | 78.3%36 W · 10 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 476 | 60.7%289 W · 187 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Tidebound | 26c | 155$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 149.77$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.37 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Tidebound | 42c | 139.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…84c9backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 125.43$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…5fc4backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 315 | 45.4%143 W · 172 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Team Tidebound | 41c | 119.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Tidebound | 28c | 101.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Team Tidebound | 46c | 98.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Team Tidebound | 31c | 92.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Team Tidebound | 49c | 81.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Natus Vincere | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Tidebound | 38c | 80.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…67a6backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…802abacked Team Tidebound | 20c | 72.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Natus Vincere | 56c | 69.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Tidebound | 29c | 68.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe657…b24fbacked Team Tidebound | 39c | 67.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 66.84$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54a3…102cbacked Team Tidebound | 19c | 66.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ab…c3acbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Tidebound | 32c | 61.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 61.27$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Team Tidebound | 34c | 60.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Team Tidebound | 48c | 58.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 269 | 58.7%158 W · 111 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Team Tidebound | 26c | 57.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Team Tidebound | 43c | 56.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482d…12edbacked Team Tidebound | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…4927backed Natus Vincere | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…d0afbacked Natus Vincere | 59c | 45.76$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.