TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Chile Open: Adolfo Vallejo vs Emilio Nava

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Navaof Vallejo, Nava
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,639 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Nava52c23,518$12,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,238.092,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3905…82fcbacked Vallejo53c19,614$10,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,363.845563.6%35 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Vallejo58c13,294$7,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,710.727063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Nava42c10,000$4,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,799.9143051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nava79c9,839$7,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.38,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Vallejo34c8,769$2,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,98355646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Vallejo58c8,602$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00048851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Vallejo50c8,590$4,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,336.57,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Vallejo61c8,564$5,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,20535247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xade0…e568backed Nava45c6,548$2,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,632.196344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Nava42c5,952$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,452.3620542.4%87 W · 118 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Nava39c5,841$2,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,533.831741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nava40c5,685$2,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,398.531,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Nava63c3,895$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.346,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfded…312cbacked Vallejo58c3,330$1,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,934.962770.4%19 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Nava48c3,160$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,650.8924844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Nava42c2,512$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,447.091,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Nava42c2,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.9993055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Nava49c2,449$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,248.9898240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Nava51c2,133$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.3481349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Vallejo58c2,115$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.8718237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Nava60c2,084$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.892,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Vallejo58c2,039$1,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.8976146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Vallejo58c1,650$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9573063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Nava43c1,600$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.771,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Vallejo24c1,523$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.751,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Vallejo35c1,421$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Nava49c1,400$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7215451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca1a…89e5backed Vallejo58c1,300$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7542853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc851…5e05backed Vallejo59c1,247$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.78955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Nava51c1,100$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534.1175748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2301…c95fbacked Nava46c1,080$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.484759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d67…cf6abacked Vallejo14c1,034$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.79812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick34cpaid-77.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8fe9…c6dcbacked Vallejo63c1,029$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Vallejo64c945.95$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.5520748.3%100 W · 107 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Vallejo57c926.93$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.3587251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Vallejo45c890.51$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013439.6%53 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Nava41c887.03$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.91,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35f3…092fbacked Vallejo58c886.21$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51211247.3%53 W · 59 L-11.0wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9416…98cfbacked Nava42c800$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46414536.6%53 W · 92 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x640b…ec00backed Vallejo51c738.43$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.899738.1%37 W · 60 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Nava43c694.73$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.7365651.8%340 W · 316 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Nava44c686.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.8127935.8%100 W · 179 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Vallejo54c668.2$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.7218156.9%103 W · 78 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Vallejo65c664.61$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.612,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Nava65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3863247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Nava54c594.95$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.8231647.8%151 W · 165 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Vallejo42c569.7$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.912,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Nava53c548.88$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.753,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Nava41c541$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32038133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Nava47c534.78$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.7812951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c64…cb26backed Vallejo32c533.33$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Vallejo56c512.64$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2857365.8%48 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd61…ebbdbacked Vallejo6c508.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.832729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Nava38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31034745.2%157 W · 190 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Vallejo48c478.79$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.122,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Nava74c472.4$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9328764.1%184 W · 103 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Vallejo53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502825%7 W · 21 L-6.2wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Nava48c456$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.1230131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9752…5b36backed Nava72c414.64$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.64850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nava42c404.7$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.661,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe55d…2335backed Vallejo59c404.11$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.42714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-81.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Nava50c401.28$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.6446030.4%140 W · 320 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9a1…4dbdbacked Nava41c400$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2362650%13 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Nava52c400$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1499044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89fd…da5dbacked Nava50c386.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.288845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Vallejo43c370$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.892763%17 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Vallejo57c358$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0696755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed Nava41c351$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.510835.2%38 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Nava44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9150952.1%265 W · 244 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b8…632abacked Vallejo52c317.31$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16514344.1%63 W · 80 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Vallejo63c316.34$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26b1…c3ddbacked Vallejo31c310$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.12133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Nava42c298.8$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.324448.8%119 W · 125 L+17.1wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+23.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Vallejo51c295.12$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5162545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Vallejo33c274$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.551,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Vallejo58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023353.2%124 W · 109 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Nava51c255$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1473745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Vallejo59c254.23$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Vallejo54c254$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.72,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Vallejo40c252.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Nava53c250$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7197046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Nava42c239.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.5457349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Nava42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.121758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Vallejo45c221.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4114541.4%60 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Nava46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.391,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Vallejo36c217.25$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.674,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nava44c216.54$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.43,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Nava41c215.29$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6743242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa373…b6dcbacked Vallejo58c214.79$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12554348.1%261 W · 282 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Vallejo56c213.48$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12094549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Nava50c210$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed Nava48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.339955.6%55 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Nava49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0822634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Nava42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11647639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Vallejo58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11636161.8%223 W · 138 L+41.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Nava49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10221346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Nava41c196.33$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.3331941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Vallejo51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1298…97b6backed Vallejo51c194.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008446.4%39 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.