TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Pune: Felix Gill vs Maks Kasnikowski

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Felix Gillof Felix Gill, Maks Kasnikowski
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$213,144

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,742 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4173…d3edbacked Felix Gill30c19,919$6,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,850.8255646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Felix Gill50c19,401$9,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,736.961,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Maks Kasnikowski43c12,394$5,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,277.512,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fa3…ab9cbacked Felix Gill67c10,387$6,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,416.255549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Maks Kasnikowski52c9,456$4,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,957.5875748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Felix Gill27c6,086$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,435.388,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Maks Kasnikowski53c4,656$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.392,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Maks Kasnikowski80c3,714$2,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,954.4411560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Felix Gill20c3,465$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,765.151,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea22…747abacked Maks Kasnikowski30c3,000$908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+104.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Felix Gill12c1,581$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.336,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Maks Kasnikowski53c1,090$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.972,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Maks Kasnikowski76c1,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76026045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Maks Kasnikowski75c873.65$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6576,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Maks Kasnikowski55c850$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.51,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Maks Kasnikowski62c800$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4986,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3567…8785backed Maks Kasnikowski1c743.13$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Maks Kasnikowski2c742.37$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.11,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Felix Gill44c697.66$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.8652460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Maks Kasnikowski65c679.85$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44025544.7%114 W · 141 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Maks Kasnikowski60c668.91$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020748.3%100 W · 107 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9a…412ebacked Felix Gill31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.1613439.6%53 W · 81 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Felix Gill14c528.57$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.5762534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Maks Kasnikowski50c417.85$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.476,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Maks Kasnikowski65c387.05$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013356.4%75 W · 58 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47b…c6b1backed Maks Kasnikowski72c364.69$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.5819052.6%100 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Felix Gill39c336.21$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.2129637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Felix Gill41c326.19$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.1967239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Felix Gill39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18337339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Maks Kasnikowski49c273.47$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13470729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Felix Gill37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.271,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Maks Kasnikowski61c256.4$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.442046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Felix Gill38c252.28$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8935944.8%161 W · 198 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Felix Gill27c244.44$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.4467836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Maks Kasnikowski68c203.42$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.824,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Felix Gill53c189.52$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5269350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked Maks Kasnikowski73c147$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.313050%15 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b23…3705backed Felix Gill73c136.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.191668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Maks Kasnikowski58c131.67$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.376149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Maks Kasnikowski62c120.97$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e6b…d04cbacked Felix Gill18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Maks Kasnikowski59c99.99$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.991,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff8b…9d11backed Maks Kasnikowski65c93.85$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Maks Kasnikowski30c93.8$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8814541.4%60 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Felix Gill36c90.47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.814,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Felix Gill33c90.19$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.872646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked Felix Gill58c89$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7539751.4%204 W · 193 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Felix Gill25c87.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.192,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Maks Kasnikowski77c87.42$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2629063.8%185 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa677…9beabacked Felix Gill24c83.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.333234.4%11 W · 21 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Felix Gill53c80.15$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.6957252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Felix Gill25c74.59$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9415650%78 W · 78 L-11.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Felix Gill34c72.62$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6230351.8%157 W · 146 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Felix Gill26c65.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.272,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Felix Gill59c63.38$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.883,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Maks Kasnikowski79c63.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5090340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked Felix Gill40c63.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.291947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e3…40a0backed Maks Kasnikowski59c60.06$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5411759.8%70 W · 47 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xccc2…9d94backed Maks Kasnikowski26c57.51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.088231.7%26 W · 56 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Felix Gill39c56.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x126b…298fbacked Maks Kasnikowski78c56.41$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.981942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-35%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Maks Kasnikowski62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3138048.4%184 W · 196 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Felix Gill27c46.29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.9430254.3%164 W · 138 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e86…db9dbacked Maks Kasnikowski69c43.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304035%14 W · 26 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7747…8d9bbacked Felix Gill37c43.24$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2431941.4%132 W · 187 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Felix Gill80c41.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4464065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Felix Gill24c41.32$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2184736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked Felix Gill40c41.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.733644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+21.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db0…f397backed Maks Kasnikowski69c41$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1313647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbc5…2585backed Maks Kasnikowski52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.82133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94d4…a896backed Felix Gill25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309652.1%50 W · 46 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xabbf…126cbacked Felix Gill36c39.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5911050%55 W · 55 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Felix Gill74c32.86$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5425957.5%149 W · 110 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Maks Kasnikowski78c32.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.181,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Felix Gill44c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.890335.8%323 W · 580 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maks Kasnikowski62c29.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.911,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc871…2f76backed Maks Kasnikowski71c28.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208169.1%56 W · 25 L-0.4wins0.00per pick70cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Maks Kasnikowski80c27$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.571,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Felix Gill78c23.3$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.182,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Felix Gill70c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.94,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc991…f87dbacked Maks Kasnikowski67c20.3$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-56.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Maks Kasnikowski62c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.477047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Maks Kasnikowski72c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.851729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.