TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Chile Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tabiloof Tabilo, Tirante
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$160,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $160,271 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2301…c95fbacked Tabilo50c21,914$10,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,023.974759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Tirante49c17,636$8,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,6822,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tirante44c13,342$5,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,861.77,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Tabilo63c6,995$4,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,610.0511560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Tabilo68c6,078$4,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,94543051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Tabilo45c6,076$2,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,347.2948851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Tirante47c4,583$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,13281349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Tirante28c4,064$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.233,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Tirante36c3,789$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,380.091,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Tabilo71c3,600$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.432,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Tirante29c3,397$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.761,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Tirante35c3,280$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.792,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Tabilo69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Tabilo68c3,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9824643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade0…e568backed Tabilo53c2,831$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.756344.4%28 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Tirante32c2,793$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.9331332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Tabilo47c2,415$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,267.81,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Tirante35c2,134$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.081,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Tirante34c1,996$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.211,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tirante34c1,981$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.58,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Tirante32c1,871$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.5972452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d2…d196backed Tabilo65c1,849$1,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.3210650%53 W · 53 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Tirante47c1,661$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.946,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Tirante34c1,582$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.81,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f95…b08bbacked Tabilo63c1,518$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.9311045.5%50 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Tabilo70c1,421$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.410943.1%47 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Tabilo73c1,374$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.1440748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Tabilo72c1,350$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.370652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b5e…61b4backed Tabilo65c1,347$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.7237444.1%165 W · 209 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Tirante42c1,196$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.284,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Tirante31c1,021$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.1838133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288c…3641backed Tirante41c975.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009430.9%29 W · 65 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tabilo67c818$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9487251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Tabilo69c724.64$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.642552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Tabilo64c625$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22563247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Tirante34c557$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7720043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Tirante40c550.04$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9314225.4%36 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Tirante32c543$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7621338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Tabilo66c540.91$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9119653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tirante47c524.8$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Tabilo69c507.25$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2512861.7%79 W · 49 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Tirante32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16046649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Tirante37c497.71$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.956,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Tirante37c467.31$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.95446.3%25 W · 29 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Tabilo64c460.66$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3253058.1%308 W · 222 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Tirante54c431.83$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.1976146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc635…9052backed Tabilo71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.547368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+33.3%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Tabilo69c405.8$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.860641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Tabilo72c370.83$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.831,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ab0…b46abacked Tirante35c363.97$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.3923735%83 W · 154 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Tabilo69c361.72$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.43647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc128…5b3abacked Tabilo68c349.02$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.326767.2%45 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdfab…2b1bbacked Tirante50c339.28$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.64450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe81c…a724backed Tabilo69c307.25$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.252774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Tabilo68c304.41$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.419656.3%54 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tirante36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Tabilo67c297.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3211353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed Tabilo65c275.41$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.395565.5%36 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Tirante37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014639%57 W · 89 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Tabilo62c270.27$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1742046.9%197 W · 223 L-8.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Tirante31c263.01$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.44,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Tirante31c260$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.643353.6%232 W · 201 L+32.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Tirante49c259.03$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.412,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tirante56c252.79$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.566,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Tirante35c250$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2549142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Tirante38c232.19$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2375262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Tabilo72c226.81$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.8130750.5%155 W · 152 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Tabilo61c218.42$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3824454.9%134 W · 110 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Tirante53c212.94$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.862,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Tirante30c212.9$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6472542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Tabilo48c206.3$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.41,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Tabilo64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7236161.8%223 W · 138 L+41.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Tirante44c195$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.124,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Tirante31c195$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.591,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42ce…bdcfbacked Tabilo52c193.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.086168.9%42 W · 19 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Tabilo53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.681457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Tirante48c185$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Tabilo68c183.82$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.8224560%147 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3d…3ec1backed Tirante30c180.47$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.149530.5%29 W · 66 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Tirante30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037339.1%146 W · 227 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Tabilo61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.937943%34 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc554…00adbacked Tirante42c159.6$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.52646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Tirante38c158.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604540%18 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…56ecbacked Tabilo64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2511256.3%63 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Tabilo64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2540264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Tabilo69c154.7$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9631749.5%157 W · 160 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Tirante39c154.25$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025950.2%130 W · 129 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Tirante32c148.59$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5565849.4%325 W · 333 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Tabilo68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0618659.7%111 W · 75 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tabilo65c143.47$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.211,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed Tirante31c141.87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.984557.8%26 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+31.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Tabilo51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2565652.1%342 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd61…ebbdbacked Tirante23c133.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.762729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Tirante32c130$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.622039.1%86 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Tirante30c130$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3967836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Tirante54c124.85$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4211047.3%52 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Tirante37c118.2$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.731,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Tirante32c116.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.1518548.6%90 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf8b…bff8backed Tirante33c113.97$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6137238.2%142 W · 230 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Tirante31c113.7$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2568951.1%352 W · 337 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.